TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5db7…a264

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.67
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$12.41
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$3.82
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$23.79
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.24
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.65
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.97
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.47
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.19
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.11
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.34
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffsbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Counter-Strike: regain vs Akimbo Esports (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Playoffsbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+219.6%+$63.25
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Aurora Young Blood (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked RoundsGG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ESC Gaming (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+128.2%+$19.8
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Playoffsbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$23.18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$41.48
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Metizport (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$21.28
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Lavked (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$22.59
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.97
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.97
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs San-Hui Shinbacked San-Hui Shin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.16
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.95
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Terence Atmanebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.83
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Chloe Paquet vs Xinyu Wangbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$4.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Disguised vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.