NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaa6ce67a421d5494e4a6fcae609febeed68f9071b42292cbcde88ce76fb41be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Utah, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah | 32c | 7,318$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.87 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Utah | 28c | 3,552$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.55 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Blues | 68c | 2,980$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.49 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 67c | 1,980$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.29 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Blues | 72c | 1,621$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.83 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Blues | 67c | 1,161$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.78 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Blues | 72c | 688.61$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.81 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 67c | 681.8$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.28 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Blues | 72c | 587.33$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Blues | 79c | 544.22$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Blues | 72c | 497.31$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Blues | 78c | 484.23$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Blues | 72c | 452.27$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Utah | 35c | 342.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Utah | 30c | 342.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked Utah | 31c | 339.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked Utah | 28c | 317.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Blues | 67c | 313.54$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Blues | 69c | 249.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Utah | 52c | 216.4$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Blues | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blues | 76c | 172.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Blues | 72c | 161.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf500…958dbacked Blues | 49c | 139.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Blues | 67c | 139.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Blues | 67c | 121.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Utah | 28c | 99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Blues | 78c | 91.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x525d…1f1bbacked Utah | 26c | 74.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Blues | 78c | 62.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Blues | 70c | 61.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Blues | 73c | 55.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Blues | 72c | 55.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Utah | 41c | 35.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Blues | 70c | 34.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Blues | 49c | 33.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Blues | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…a264backed Blues | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Blues | 74c | 24.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blues | 74c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Blues | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…06a1backed Blues | 73c | 19.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Blues | 58c | 18.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Blues | 71c | 15.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…d9d5backed Blues | 73c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. UtahBlues won
- Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Blues vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.