TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ce0…59d5backed Under0c54,000$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under53c17,685$9,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,345.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c13,740$6,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,159.8341842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over48c5,218$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.79431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under1c4,251$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.513721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+210.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c3,131$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.722,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f73…1b52backed Over46c2,800$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Over47c2,425$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.111442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under52c2,200$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14426154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c2,153$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.1342948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over47c2,100$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1133953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under52c1,980$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.541,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under53c1,845$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.6286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c1,775$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.582,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over61c1,640$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.3189355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over50c1,443$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.732,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c1,361$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.3733554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Over47c949.41$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.949545.3%43 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over47c834.15$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.934951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c830.75$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9918452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under52c624.99$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9966552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over49c598$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.0220756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c592.59$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over52c543.63$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.441,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bfb…3473backed Under54c518.52$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330f…1f48backed Over47c505.47$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26011152.3%58 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa260…3844backed Under54c472.22$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under55c400$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.52969%20 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Under53c390.57$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2119050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under52c365$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.811047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over65c353.01$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.881,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under51c319.68$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.045952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f1…0fcfbacked Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over49c300$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1528053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over49c290.37$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.096056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc944…1782backed Over46c280$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under52c278.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.091346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c276.9$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under52c276.9$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9915051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c276.9$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9937754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under20c256.3$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3331828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under52c221.18$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.637448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Over49c206.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.566167.2%41 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9e7…872bbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…078fbacked Under52c203.4$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Under42c199.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843030%9 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e3…fdcebacked Over51c197.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over41c196.61$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11613445.5%61 W · 73 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…243bbacked Under52c194.58$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c188.34$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9453849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under52c166$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.813336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over66c160.43$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.156134.4%21 W · 40 L-8.5wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8056553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over47c153.05$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.122,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over50c134.17$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7712152.1%63 W · 58 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c116.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.863,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c116$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3286049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under55c110.53$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7911253.6%60 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b69…2161backed Over46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30bb…f258backed Under52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under54c102.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.293452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5542750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420245%91 W · 111 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over47c95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under70c84.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.412065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under52c83.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3510346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over45c75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2521155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b1…f556backed Under40c74.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb611…188fbacked Over48c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.481855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.827659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under56c62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.647739%30 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over73c54.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.517265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d43…b695backed Over41c50.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under46c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5931448.7%153 W · 161 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over45c45.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0922946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under53c44.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.694045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed Under50c43.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc45d…de2fbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4819548.2%94 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511054.5%60 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over45c42.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.152250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.220350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Under38c36.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.617852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4892049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x533d…b579backed Under53c35.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under51c35.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.945651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c32.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8819150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Under52c32.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.753154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c31.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.652,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over57c28.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2510447.1%49 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over66c27.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4361848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under47c27.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7121463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f9e…2fd5backed Over46c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.