NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a69c243146fb107e9f16f9f2ffdbaff9465b065e4e3e65debe8a424cf8a8f02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 9,000$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.97 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 2,889$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.51 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 43c | 2,718$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.62 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 1,554$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.82 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 41c | 1,193$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.74 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 59c | 951.85$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.34 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 724.14$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.14 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 43c | 676.74$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 41c | 612.42$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 537.78$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.49 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 42c | 474.69$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 58c | 387.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 43c | 297$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 43c | 246.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 43c | 225.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 43c | 225.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 43c | 225.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 43c | 225.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 225.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…43adbacked Under | 45c | 161$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 76c | 158.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 63c | 135.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 127.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…3670backed Over | 58c | 124.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Over | 67c | 123.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 43c | 110.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb7…3f4bbacked Under | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…c117backed Under | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 38c | 105.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 38c | 105.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 32c | 104.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 43c | 100.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 57c | 91.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 34c | 84.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 60c | 81.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…2c71backed Under | 43c | 69.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 42c | 54.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…5e39backed Over | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 50c | 49.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 60c | 46.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 64c | 43.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…4bf7backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Under | 35c | 39.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 45c | 37.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 38c | 34.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…e28fbacked Over | 57c | 30.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 55c | 30.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Under | 42c | 28.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 43c | 26.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa062…999cbacked Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…c8d0backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9af6backed Under | 42c | 24.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…32fbbacked Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6051…67cdbacked Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…4a26backed Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 60c | 21.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…c2d4backed Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…a55cbacked Over | 57c | 20.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42eb…bf6dbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…cd92backed Over | 57c | 18.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…421bbacked Over | 57c | 17.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 79c | 16.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. UtahBlues won
- Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Blues vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Blues won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.