NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf4ff151453bd0953ce7f998c0435ee5c4322631d5be144a0303ed6cc6319c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Blues, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc645…e8bbbacked Blues | 44c | 2,356$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.57 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Blues | 29c | 2,024$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.25 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Utah | 70c | 1,905$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.39 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46d…aae7backed Utah | 1c | 1,862$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Blues | 30c | 1,409$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.95 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Utah | 68c | 1,371$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.28 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Utah | 56c | 1,303$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.5 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Utah | 71c | 1,116$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.57 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Blues | 29c | 1,113$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.45 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Utah | 71c | 1,010$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.1 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Utah | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Utah | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Utah | 68c | 994.91$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.54 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Blues | 32c | 852.49$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.57 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Utah | 69c | 515.68$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.6 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Blues | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Utah | 71c | 422.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Utah | 70c | 345.16$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.61 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blues | 17c | 333.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.54 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blues | 32c | 324.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.31 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Blues | 36c | 308.03$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Blues | 35c | 306.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.88 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Blues | 31c | 285.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.03 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Utah | 65c | 280.24$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.14 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Blues | 33c | 135.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Utah | 69c | 126.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Blues | 36c | 126.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Blues | 36c | 126.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Blues | 36c | 126.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Blues | 36c | 126.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Utah | 67c | 124.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Blues | 29c | 112.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 33c | 110.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Blues | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Utah | 69c | 99.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Utah | 72c | 97.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Blues | 58c | 96.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blues | 29c | 95.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Blues | 35c | 94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Utah | 72c | 76.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Utah | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Utah | 61c | 73.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Utah | 66c | 69.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Blues | 29c | 68.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…f473backed Blues | 32c | 66.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Blues | 19c | 66.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Blues | 17c | 60.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 33c | 60.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Blues | 34c | 59.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Blues | 29c | 57.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Blues | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…4517backed Blues | 32c | 46.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blues | 28c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Blues | 33c | 42.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Blues | 32c | 41.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd173…bfaebacked Blues | 29c | 39.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…5292backed Blues | 60c | 35.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Blues | 30c | 34.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Utah | 62c | 30.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Utah | 56c | 29.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Utah | 65c | 22.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Utah | 74c | 20.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Utah | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Utah | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Blues | 63c | 17.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Utah | 72c | 16.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Utah | 71c | 16.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Utah | 70c | 15.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. UtahBlues won
- Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Blues vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.