TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ac4…14f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT4531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffsbacked Turma do Pagode · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.2
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$171.76
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$103.81
Will PARIVISION win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will FURIA win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+195%+$105.75
Will FURIA win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Team Spirit win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38.4
Will Team Falcons win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$29.9
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.79
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+150%+$22.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will FURIA win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+334.8%+$60.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.3
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Dota 2: Heroic vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$23.6
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Heroic (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 3 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$21.6
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$11.62
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+250.7%+$56.1
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT3125.8%8 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.11
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$36.61
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$103.7
Elsa FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+45.4%+$45.39
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20.97
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.4
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.7
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$87.1
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.28
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Over $4M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.18
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$84.4
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$61.5
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.8
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+173.8%+$58.62
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$84.51
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+109.1%+$32.74
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+123.6%+$32.37
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+36.7%+$9.17
Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.48
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+221.9%+$100.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.12
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$34.93
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$21.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$27.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$16.69
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.84
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+344.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Luca Van Asschebacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$194.04
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Zizou Bergsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$154
Wuning 2: Leo Vithoontien vs Yaojie Zengbacked Yaojie Zeng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$66.3
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.43
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.09
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$66.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$380.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$22.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Blues (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.