Champions League · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc935faf4586b6335cffbfa31f5ffae3950854d6a124694e67ee73060c4a0db0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,243 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 59c | 504$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.36 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 41c | 443$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 59c | 395.41$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.62 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +7.7wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 41c | 346.11$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.11 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 59c | 133$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9d…e0edbacked Over | 60c | 98.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 97.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 38c | 92.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 86.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Under | 39c | 81.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 60c | 48.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…c9a5backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…14bcbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…a0abbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…a474backed Over | 62c | 24.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.