Champions League · resolved market
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30f0d51f326ebab5630f541c0168a5cba6f7ebb709f4945dc1f2bea2174a7efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,132 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +7.7wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 54c | 434.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.19 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 49c | 311.55$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.22 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 59c | 255.22$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.48 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 56c | 243.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 48c | 209.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…03a9backed Yes | 44c | 169.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4f…b4b5backed No | 54c | 152.42$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ce…286abacked Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…22ebbacked No | 57c | 134.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 50c | 97.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c05…1ddcbacked Yes | 57c | 94.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Yes | 55c | 90.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 59c | 87.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 53c | 79.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837d…86dfbacked Yes | 47c | 77.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 70c | 76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 43c | 55.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Yes | 30c | 49.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 41c | 49.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…e73cbacked Yes | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 55c | 26.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…ff32backed Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Fermín Lopez: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Juan Hernandez: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Raphinha: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Robert Lewandowski: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.