TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x466f…03a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$87.93
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.59
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.58
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 1 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.38
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.19
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.66
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 1 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+140.1%+$507.05
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.95
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$113.49
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$94.38
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.18
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$331.9
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.2
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$112.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$381
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 3 - 3 Manchester United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$355.77
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$117.17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$90
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+57%+$71.28
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.48
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.58
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$32.2
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$224.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Valenciabacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$58.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.