TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Real Madrid vs. Valencia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Real Madridof Real Madrid, Valencia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,064 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Valencia32c172,866$55,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,311.621060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Real Madrid68c99,945$67,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,982.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+101.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Real Madrid69c35,387$24,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,970.1212042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Real Madrid68c30,793$20,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,853.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Real Madrid68c4,528$3,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.812040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Real Madrid69c3,615$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.46366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…c2d9backed Valencia31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Valencia18c2,725$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4911844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Valencia27c2,227$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.8437052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Real Madrid70c2,150$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6451457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Real Madrid78c1,690$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.9354251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Valencia33c1,524$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Real Madrid69c1,458$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.981643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Valencia39c999.98$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.996338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Real Madrid69c957.72$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.761631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Real Madrid70c944.7$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.3827557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Valencia31c826.77$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.682231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Real Madrid68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Valencia30c731.28$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4231446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Real Madrid68c730.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.326237.1%23 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Real Madrid70c704.81$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.481154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Valencia35c658.02$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.268247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Valencia31c633.13$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Valencia41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Valencia10c602.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2836939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Real Madrid71c545$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.491827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid+13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Real Madrid73c544.84$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6714542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Real Madrid63c487.82$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Real Madrid69c460.26$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0321444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Valencia32c302.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Real Madrid75c295.22$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2135234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Valencia12c294.81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.536144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Valencia30c290$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-56%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Real Madrid69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Valencia32c280.36$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5414447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Valencia29c276.49$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.413147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Valencia11c275.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2726544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8015…da39backed Real Madrid75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Real Madrid76c240.08$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3243543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Real Madrid79c234.83$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1928943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Real Madrid65c229.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.810663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda86…6ff9backed Valencia44c229.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Real Madrid70c222$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.63775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cde…610cbacked Real Madrid69c220.29$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Real Madrid69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Valencia38c211.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Real Madrid70c208.39$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.562347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x466f…03a9backed Real Madrid69c190.63$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Real Madrid69c181.16$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.16850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Valencia30c159.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.682050%10 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Valencia31c140.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.636929%20 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6887…5a0cbacked Valencia38c131.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66d9…bef3backed Valencia24c130$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Valencia31c121.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5226935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Valencia30c102.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.722737%10 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Valencia35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Real Madrid69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…a3abbacked Valencia31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4b…688dbacked Valencia31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Valencia31c95.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc893…c015backed Valencia32c93.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Valencia31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Real Madrid69c73.56$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Real Madrid69c72.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1deb…472fbacked Real Madrid70c71.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Real Madrid65c66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8720936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d65…4072backed Real Madrid69c50.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7978…dd48backed Valencia30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Valencia72c49.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Real Madrid70c49.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51a2…051bbacked Valencia31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Real Madrid65c41.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.792560%15 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Real Madrid69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x296f…dd54backed Real Madrid69c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.66055%33 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd20…d9eabacked Real Madrid69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Real Madrid70c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9819748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1951…7542backed Real Madrid70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcd…74c6backed Valencia31c33.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Real Madrid68c32.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d68…5d0ebacked Valencia32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Real Madrid69c30.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.561060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9010…df3ebacked Real Madrid71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d16…0abbbacked Real Madrid69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Real Madrid69c28.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Real Madrid70c28.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.495453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc9…c447backed Real Madrid69c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.36366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Real Madrid78c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.846940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Real Madrid58c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+89.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad34…9f3abacked Real Madrid68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x592a…7f8bbacked Real Madrid69c17.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…b1debacked Real Madrid69c16.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Real Madrid68c15.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+75.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed Real Madrid69c15.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Real Madrid71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.352740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Real Madrid68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.813548.9%66 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Real Madrid79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.21850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.