TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9010…df3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
281
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT14144%62 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+189.1%+$87.95
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.48
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.41
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.45
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.26
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$26.62
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66%+$13.54
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+129.3%+$12.97
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$8.06
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+214.6%+$25.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$36.66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$3.04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$17.2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+202.6%+$26.78
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT7580%60 W · 15 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)backed Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$8.05
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca - Map 1 Winnerbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$4.08
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-Inbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerbacked Basement Bobs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$6.2
Counter-Strike: BMZ vs The QUBE Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffsbacked The QUBE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: STATE vs ENCE Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$11.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$6.73
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$2.77
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$4.77
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$15.6
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.5
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Arcade Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$3.65
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Brute - Map 1 Winnerbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$8.9
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Arcade Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$11
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$16.5
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$11.3
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$9.4
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$9.59
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$6.32
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.35
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$13.84
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$5.7
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$3.9
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$7.2
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27%+$8.5
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$10.9
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$7.3
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$6.21
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.49
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
LoL: LOS vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33%+$6.14
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31%+$6.04
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$9.78
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$10.25
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
All 24 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 76.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Total Kills Over/Under 77.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Dota 2: MODUS vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$6.5
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Dota 2: 1win vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.42
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+55%+$7.1
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$9.33
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.42
Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$11.5
Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Ivory - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$15.3
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.7
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$9.36
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs NAVI Junior - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$5.85
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$13.55
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.99
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$8.35
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.96
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$34.53
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$23.45
All 20 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT9100%9 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FALKE ESPORTS vs Melilla Titans (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsbacked FALKE ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$7.65
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsbacked KPI Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$6.78
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked KPI Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$3.4
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked KPI Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$11.78
Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs FUT Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$14.23
Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group Bbacked FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$9.65
Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs FUT Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$9.62
Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagebacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$3.43
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$16.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$37.55
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
BNP Paribas Open: Linda Noskova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.8
Phoenix: Darwin Blanch vs Billy Harrisbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Valenciabacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.