Lol · resolved market

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x722ee3fa626207f8aa31eecaa493df70b409c40646d1a166d6666f70111ed14d

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FURIA Esportsof Vivo Keyd Stars, FURIA Esports
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,013 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3833…33d1backed FURIA Esports	67c	6,887$4,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,283.7	641	55.7%357 W · 284 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vivo Keyd Stars	28c	3,373$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.74	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vivo Keyd Stars	33c	3,244$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.28	2,406	42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L	+21.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed FURIA Esports	66c	2,843$1,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$957.83	1,592	53.7%855 W · 737 L	+57.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Vivo Keyd Stars	26c	1,966$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.21	635	46.6%296 W · 339 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Vivo Keyd Stars	36c	1,957$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.08	280	42.5%119 W · 161 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Vivo Keyd Stars	2c	1,901$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.36	1,308	38.6%505 W · 803 L	-64.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed FURIA Esports	66c	1,559$1,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.67	712	49.2%350 W · 362 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Vivo Keyd Stars	34c	1,389$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.44	1,258	38.6%485 W · 773 L	-61.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed FURIA Esports	67c	1,359$911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.49	1,435	57.4%824 W · 611 L	+36.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed Vivo Keyd Stars	4c	1,114$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.55	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	33c	1,046$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.81	1,598	42.4%677 W · 921 L	-17.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed FURIA Esports	67c	999.74$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.91	1,091	53.8%587 W · 504 L	+38.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe62d…18b4backed Vivo Keyd Stars	18c	992.4$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.23	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Vivo Keyd Stars	33c	964.28$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.21	761	42%320 W · 441 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	33c	962.39$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.59	1,216	44.4%540 W · 676 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars	33c	900.77$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.26	1,003	42.5%426 W · 577 L	-24.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FURIA Esports	72c	894.32$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.67	599	52.8%316 W · 283 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	28c	873.85$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.96	2,341	40.3%943 W · 1,398 L	-61.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Vivo Keyd Stars	31c	872.24$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.16	695	39.1%272 W · 423 L	-36.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked FURIA Esports	71c	841.78$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244	732	37.7%276 W · 456 L	-51.5wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports	71c	670.84$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.54	1,536	62.6%961 W · 575 L	+157.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked Vivo Keyd Stars	31c	627.55$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.67	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA Esports	66c	583.48$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.73	1,731	44.2%765 W · 966 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	36c	560.12$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.45	563	41%231 W · 332 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed FURIA Esports	62c	554.12$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.57	769	53.4%411 W · 358 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fd…4ab3backed FURIA Esports	72c	544.73$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.38	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vivo Keyd Stars	30c	415.41$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.69	2,905	38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L	-118.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked FURIA Esports	65c	341.85$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.36	308	56.5%174 W · 134 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed FURIA Esports	66c	270.31$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.6	577	54.9%317 W · 260 L	+24.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Vivo Keyd Stars	29c	248.88$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.25	742	50.5%375 W · 367 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	32c	220.37$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.77	950	41.6%395 W · 555 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	32c	209.83$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.14	170	57.1%97 W · 73 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed FURIA Esports	67c	199.99$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked FURIA Esports	68c	198.05$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.38	685	57.5%394 W · 291 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Vivo Keyd Stars	36c	185.25$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.33	506	47.2%239 W · 267 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	34c	177.96$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.51	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5349…a09dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	35c	177.57$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.97	131	61.1%80 W · 51 L	+8.5wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	20c	161.69$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.25	1,671	57.9%968 W · 703 L	+70.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vivo Keyd Stars	29c	150$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.12	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed FURIA Esports	66c	148.58$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.62	176	58%102 W · 74 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed FURIA Esports	68c	144.51$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.44	396	63.4%251 W · 145 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Vivo Keyd Stars	30c	127.57$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.81	194	37.6%73 W · 121 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Vivo Keyd Stars	30c	126.82$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.93	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed FURIA Esports	80c	123.5$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.7	403	64.5%260 W · 143 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Vivo Keyd Stars	19c	120.96$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.64	428	47.9%205 W · 223 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed FURIA Esports	64c	114.95$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.58	207	56%116 W · 91 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	24c	114$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.27	584	20.2%118 W · 466 L	-58.1wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-43%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed FURIA Esports	68c	108.45$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.9	1,218	58.1%708 W · 510 L	+44.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	28c	108.13$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	95	56.8%54 W · 41 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed FURIA Esports	67c	100.35$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.31	348	44.8%156 W · 192 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed FURIA Esports	77c	100.27$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.41	505	49.3%249 W · 256 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Vivo Keyd Stars	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	457	39.6%181 W · 276 L	-37.5wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Vivo Keyd Stars	29c	89.2$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.51	1,831	17.1%313 W · 1,518 L	-236.0wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-46%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa447…f063backed FURIA Esports	61c	79.87$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.13	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Vivo Keyd Stars	33c	65.59$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	738	51.5%380 W · 358 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ab…5080backed FURIA Esports	64c	64.7$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.49	192	57.8%111 W · 81 L	-11.9wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8769…04aebacked FURIA Esports	59c	51.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.01	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	63cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed FURIA Esports	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	1,175	47.4%557 W · 618 L	+42.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7743…1baebacked FURIA Esports	59c	49.6$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.33	195	59.5%116 W · 79 L	+12.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e3…b39ebacked FURIA Esports	74c	47.59$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.35	88	54.5%48 W · 40 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Vivo Keyd Stars	30c	44.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.24	1,539	43.7%673 W · 866 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed FURIA Esports	69c	44.19$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.77	483	53.4%258 W · 225 L	-19.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Vivo Keyd Stars	27c	42.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	753	42.5%320 W · 433 L	-14.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x557b…dfb3backed FURIA Esports	77c	40.6$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.34	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7cf…df09backed Vivo Keyd Stars	29c	39.89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda5…2471backed FURIA Esports	74c	38.34$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.89	237	69.6%165 W · 72 L	+30.0wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5210…b387backed Vivo Keyd Stars	33c	37.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.35	647	49.5%320 W · 327 L	+3.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed Vivo Keyd Stars	33c	36.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7c…c4c5backed FURIA Esports	73c	33.6$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.07	212	67%142 W · 70 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+11%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Vivo Keyd Stars	37c	27.48$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	375	48%180 W · 195 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked FURIA Esports	76c	25.05$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.06	183	57.9%106 W · 77 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed FURIA Esports	79c	24.05$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.01	549	44.4%244 W · 305 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9010…df3ebacked FURIA Esports	64c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.3	24	79.2%19 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	70cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b2d…aad2backed FURIA Esports	63c	19.56$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.24	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed FURIA Esports	78c	19.23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.23	460	58%267 W · 193 L	+8.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA Esports	66c	18.76$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.38	1,067	47%502 W · 565 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f83…d411backed FURIA Esports	71c	14.88$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.3	116	69.8%81 W · 35 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFURIA Esports won
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event