Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x830863ddea867e55f31af56faa0fd474d3712b9dd743c5e72c9b73f9fad07b91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 59c | 16,354$9,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,642.31 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 41c | 5,247$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.29 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 40c | 3,386$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.42 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de2…7568backed Under | 67c | 3,095$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Over | 32c | 2,517$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.4 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 40c | 2,354$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.64 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 41c | 1,754$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.6 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 40c | 1,687$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.8 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 43c | 1,622$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.5 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Over | 42c | 1,349$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.58 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 41c | 1,175$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.06 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Over | 41c | 1,057$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.81 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…5a35backed Under | 58c | 920.81$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.74 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 43c | 810.49$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.51 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 57c | 699.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 58c | 620.85$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.76 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 43c | 600.91$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.67 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 59c | 508.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.36 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 40c | 499.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 58c | 478.66$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.85 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 41c | 470.72$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 59c | 456.49$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.16 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6742…fdf7backed Over | 42c | 353.04$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 59c | 318.96$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Under | 58c | 280.74$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 59c | 255.55$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 32c | 230.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 59c | 181.85$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 59c | 175.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 57c | 159$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 58c | 159$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 58c | 142.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 59c | 138.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 40c | 134.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 58c | 133$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 40c | 127.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Over | 43c | 125.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 42c | 116$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…3ce5backed Over | 43c | 112.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Under | 59c | 104.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 59c | 104.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 59c | 104.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Under | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Over | 42c | 97.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 56c | 93.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Under | 59c | 91.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 43c | 86.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 59c | 86.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ca…3b08backed Under | 59c | 69.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 58c | 67.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed Under | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Under | 58c | 55.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 59c | 53.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Under | 59c | 52.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a09dbacked Under | 58c | 47.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…2c71backed Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 58c | 44.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 58c | 38.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 41c | 33.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked Under | 58c | 33.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…08f3backed Under | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 58c | 30.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Under | 58c | 30.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 40c | 29.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 59c | 29.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Over | 41c | 28.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Under | 59c | 28.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…6cb7backed Under | 59c | 27.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 40c | 27.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 59c | 22.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Under | 59c | 21.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Under | 59c | 18.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFURIA Esports won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.