Lol · resolved market

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x237f1177d36e3c0e65cbcf3bbeee37bdc2956d6f870f52b2fd1d9b4f7c09f526

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FURIA Esportsof Vivo Keyd Stars, FURIA Esports
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $52,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $59,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,455 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9942…f1abbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	2c	17,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	71	1.4%1 W · 70 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked FURIA Esports	63c	2,602$1,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$974.8	2,004	58.2%1,166 W · 838 L	+86.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Vivo Keyd Stars	37c	1,452$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.32	1,091	53.8%587 W · 504 L	+38.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Vivo Keyd Stars	17c	1,122$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.04	264	43.6%115 W · 149 L	+11.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed FURIA Esports	60c	1,039$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.16	769	53.4%411 W · 358 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Vivo Keyd Stars	38c	999.99$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	219	54.3%119 W · 100 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports	67c	760.89$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.88	1,536	62.6%961 W · 575 L	+157.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vivo Keyd Stars	40c	729.03$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.61	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	38c	688.9$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.78	903	48.4%437 W · 466 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Vivo Keyd Stars	37c	633.23$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.87	1,258	38.6%485 W · 773 L	-61.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1fd…4ab3backed FURIA Esports	62c	472.84$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.68	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked FURIA Esports	61c	340.32$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.73	835	60.8%508 W · 327 L	+45.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Vivo Keyd Stars	40c	332.49$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	1,229	45.1%554 W · 675 L	+48.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe751…9af6backed FURIA Esports	62c	316.9$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.51	259	45.2%117 W · 142 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed FURIA Esports	62c	313.23$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.74	644	51.2%330 W · 314 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	39c	263.77$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.39	732	37.7%276 W · 456 L	-51.5wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars	38c	253.65$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.39	1,003	42.5%426 W · 577 L	-24.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc3…6be5backed Vivo Keyd Stars	21c	243.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.13	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4c…935ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars	15c	229.65$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.26	134	33.6%45 W · 89 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed FURIA Esports	61c	227.34$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.66	280	42.5%119 W · 161 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed FURIA Esports	63c	217.29$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.4	396	63.4%251 W · 145 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked FURIA Esports	63c	217.29$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.4	592	41.9%248 W · 344 L	-16.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	22c	203.85$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.21	1,241	34.7%431 W · 810 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	39c	203.72$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.45	685	57.5%394 W · 291 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars	33c	196.97$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vivo Keyd Stars	37c	196.66$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.63	2,406	42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L	+21.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed FURIA Esports	61c	195.32$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.17	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Vivo Keyd Stars	20c	193.73$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.86	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7743…1baebacked FURIA Esports	63c	135.03$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.96	195	59.5%116 W · 79 L	+12.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vivo Keyd Stars	35c	130.8$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.41	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…527ebacked FURIA Esports	78c	123.04$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.56	625	58.7%367 W · 258 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Vivo Keyd Stars	24c	117.13$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.18	337	37.7%127 W · 210 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed FURIA Esports	64c	111.57$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.56	348	44.8%156 W · 192 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed FURIA Esports	63c	107.09$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.62	801	50.7%406 W · 395 L	+48.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Vivo Keyd Stars	40c	107.05$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.82	160	43.1%69 W · 91 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	17c	103.83$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.65	1,598	42.4%677 W · 921 L	-17.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d19…296ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars	45c	103.83$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.41	351	46.2%162 W · 189 L	+11.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Vivo Keyd Stars	42c	101.78$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	742	50.5%375 W · 367 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed FURIA Esports	63c	96.87$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.84	700	57.3%401 W · 299 L	+36.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x485b…fc40backed FURIA Esports	73c	81.07$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.01	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Vivo Keyd Stars	39c	78.9$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.77	1,175	47.4%557 W · 618 L	+42.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed FURIA Esports	63c	78.41$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.01	131	56.5%74 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed FURIA Esports	61c	76.7$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.91	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c7…de4bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	39c	72.65$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.33	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Vivo Keyd Stars	38c	72.21$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.44	1,924	35.9%691 W · 1,233 L	-97.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports	54c	65.12$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.96	854	42.7%365 W · 489 L	-14.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Vivo Keyd Stars	16c	64.96$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	1,539	43.7%673 W · 866 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Vivo Keyd Stars	41c	64.75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.3	375	48%180 W · 195 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Vivo Keyd Stars	21c	63.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.69	428	47.9%205 W · 223 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd077…85ecbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	23c	63.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	18c	62.02$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	2,341	40.3%943 W · 1,398 L	-61.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed FURIA Esports	61c	60.61$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.64	176	58%102 W · 74 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed FURIA Esports	63c	58.19$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.53	1,372	48.6%667 W · 705 L	+57.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…b387backed FURIA Esports	63c	53.78$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.9	647	49.5%320 W · 327 L	+3.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	29c	51.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.94	584	20.2%118 W · 466 L	-58.1wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-43%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked FURIA Esports	62c	47.68$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.12	282	61%172 W · 110 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed FURIA Esports	64c	43.06$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.68	487	47%229 W · 258 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdda5…2471backed FURIA Esports	70c	42.66$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.99	237	69.6%165 W · 72 L	+30.0wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Vivo Keyd Stars	31c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	1,728	29.5%509 W · 1,219 L	-123.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Vivo Keyd Stars	32c	39.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	1,643	44.4%730 W · 913 L	-42.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Vivo Keyd Stars	40c	36.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	738	51.5%380 W · 358 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked FURIA Esports	72c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	416	51.2%213 W · 203 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7c…c4c5backed FURIA Esports	67c	29.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.74	212	67%142 W · 70 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+11%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed FURIA Esports	62c	29.33$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.14	366	47.3%173 W · 193 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked FURIA Esports	62c	29.33$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.14	330	42.4%140 W · 190 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed FURIA Esports	70c	28.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.61	549	44.4%244 W · 305 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed FURIA Esports	76c	27.96$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.62	690	41.3%285 W · 405 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa447…f063backed FURIA Esports	60c	25.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.17	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars	42c	25.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	95	56.8%54 W · 41 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9010…df3ebacked FURIA Esports	70c	24.94$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.49	24	79.2%19 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	70cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked FURIA Esports	70c	21.74$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.42	183	57.9%106 W · 77 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5349…a09dbacked FURIA Esports	61c	20.44$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	131	61.1%80 W · 51 L	+8.5wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed FURIA Esports	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	460	58%267 W · 193 L	+8.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed FURIA Esports	62c	19.54$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.43	143	60.8%87 W · 56 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFURIA Esports won
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event