TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07e4…116a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT4744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.65
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$586.96
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 2 Winnerbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+105%+$157.96
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-Inbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$354.57
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.89
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.19
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.32
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.65
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+260.8%+$498.98
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.41
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.78
LoL: RMD Gaming vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RMD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.48
LoL: RMD Gaming vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RMD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.08
LoL: 7REX vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+99%+$288.25
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$407.66
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.67
LoL: RMD Gaming vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RMD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.78
LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.52
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$261.54
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$637.5
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+215%+$678.92
Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$287
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$414.38
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$314.29
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$136.36
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$250.29
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$692.08
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+169.8%+$509.53
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$284.14
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$30.28
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.9
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$783.02
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$273.11
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$449.95
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$218
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+127.2%+$279.73
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$143
Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$387
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$429
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$962.52
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$628.57
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$285
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$360
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$446.25
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$416.95
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$421.67
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+298.3%+$1,005.31
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$435
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$595.94
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,027.11
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$404
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$878.78
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,250
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$506.9
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tallison Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$324.74
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$427.55
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.82
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+204%+$979.11
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$345.62
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+181.6%+$908.07
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rob Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$541.67
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$609.09
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+614.4%+$1,388.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$214.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$133.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovicbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$533
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.