TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leviatán Esportsof Paper Rex, Leviatán Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$256,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Leviatán Esports44c22,377$9,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,531.2924145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Paper Rex56c15,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.974542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x982c…0d6ebacked Paper Rex0c13,592$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Paper Rex58c12,372$7,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,203.5352155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Leviatán Esports35c10,409$3,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,795.4293049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Leviatán Esports42c5,500$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202.4932047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Paper Rex56c5,216$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.95812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-84%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Leviatán Esports43c5,059$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,895.8512951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Paper Rex56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Leviatán Esports40c4,967$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Paper Rex66c4,682$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.154751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Leviatán Esports33c4,346$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,932.619340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Paper Rex69c4,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.995655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Leviatán Esports43c3,574$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.385429.6%16 W · 38 L-9.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-42%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Paper Rex56c3,393$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Paper Rex60c2,796$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.1194361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Leviatán Esports25c2,740$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.991450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Paper Rex59c2,663$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.2753355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Paper Rex60c2,567$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.956259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Leviatán Esports41c2,416$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.051181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+64.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Paper Rex60c2,165$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.1956357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex53c2,099$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.541,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Leviatán Esports45c2,034$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.4539042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Paper Rex67c2,012$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.7626650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Leviatán Esports44c1,910$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.63857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Leviatán Esports43c1,771$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.986346%29 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Paper Rex55c1,761$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.4316639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Paper Rex55c1,617$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.626847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Leviatán Esports41c1,610$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.8640944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Leviatán Esports45c1,420$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.1568458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed Paper Rex59c1,365$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.326373%46 W · 17 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Paper Rex55c1,266$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.96757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…9fffbacked Paper Rex75c1,096$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.131747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Paper Rex60c1,021$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.0415358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Paper Rex56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.992729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Paper Rex55c848.9$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.8955152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Leviatán Esports49c836.4$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.0688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Paper Rex56c832.96$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.651838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Paper Rex72c832.59$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.291675%12 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked Leviatán Esports37c809.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.533148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x823d…f85bbacked Leviatán Esports49c801.9$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.011338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Paper Rex67c800$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Leviatán Esports28c799.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.493154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Paper Rex54c795.7$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.251,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02e9…d23fbacked Paper Rex57c750$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Leviatán Esports44c729.32$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.421926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Paper Rex66c727.41$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.865559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cd0…08f6backed Paper Rex57c642.72$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Leviatán Esports42c622.85$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.011,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Leviatán Esports25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4509151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Leviatán Esports33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4024544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Leviatán Esports44c599.98$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.9953442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Paper Rex55c598.42$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.3420755.6%115 W · 92 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Paper Rex39c596.8$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.021,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Leviatán Esports32c553.34$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.962156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Leviatán Esports39c550$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.54535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed Paper Rex46c511.86$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.652030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Leviatán Esports38c508.37$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.197934.2%27 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Leviatán Esports40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006251.6%32 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Paper Rex55c499.98$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.996048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Leviatán Esports45c476.04$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.822245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b8d…4b6fbacked Leviatán Esports44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.557265.3%47 W · 25 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Leviatán Esports48c411.77$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6853159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Leviatán Esports70c407$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.114252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcab9…eb2dbacked Paper Rex57c391.87$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Leviatán Esports38c365$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.634746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Leviatán Esports37c344.47$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.771540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Leviatán Esports40c333$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.83151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedc4…f96ebacked Paper Rex71c328.01$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Leviatán Esports46c324.82$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.111457%65 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ae…60a6backed Paper Rex56c321.43$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa6…f015backed Paper Rex64c313.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Paper Rex63c306.14$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.878646.5%40 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Leviatán Esports33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0362856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3909…a12ebacked Leviatán Esports29c300.92$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.771233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Leviatán Esports32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2045048%24 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Paper Rex56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1683852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Paper Rex51c280.77$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3955637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Leviatán Esports37c268.34$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.346426.6%17 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Paper Rex59c262.81$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0684838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Leviatán Esports44c261.73$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5710951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788c…b217backed Leviatán Esports45c255.35$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Paper Rex58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Leviatán Esports43c249.97$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Leviatán Esports41c242.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9714443.1%62 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…1d18backed Paper Rex57c240.35$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1372250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Paper Rex55c229.82$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.228541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9d…98ddbacked Paper Rex53c220.85$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.682657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb7b…bfeebacked Leviatán Esports32c219.72$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.412231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed Leviatán Esports52c219.11$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.116755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe896…a4c7backed Leviatán Esports45c218.11$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.965650%28 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Leviatán Esports29c200.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.024751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Leviatán Esports44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127356.2%41 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x760f…45d8backed Leviatán Esports36c198.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+181.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd116…c736backed Paper Rex52c192.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Leviatán Esports50c191.29$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7321240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Leviatán Esports43c188.42$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.667534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Paper Rex55c183.34$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.842842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b9…a5c2backed Paper Rex56c177.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a83…0be8backed Paper Rex53c160.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.032744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.