Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa25e98e747c4ec1bee1c379a72f837bd7a9fa198799e9a41bfb3365316c3b3d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof Paper Rex, Leviatán Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Leviatán Esports | 77c | 987.26$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.07 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Paper Rex | 20c | 735.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9bb3backed Leviatán Esports | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Paper Rex | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Leviatán Esports | 75c | 452$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Paper Rex | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Paper Rex | 23c | 374.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Paper Rex | 24c | 280$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Leviatán Esports | 74c | 220$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Leviatán Esports | 64c | 101.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Paper Rex | 21c | 101.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Leviatán Esports | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…2447backed Leviatán Esports | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Leviatán Esports | 66c | 75.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…98d1backed Paper Rex | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Paper Rex | 32c | 52.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Paper Rex | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Paper Rex | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Paper Rex | 38c | 41.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Paper Rex | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Leviatán Esports | 80c | 30.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Leviatán Esports | 79c | 19.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Paper Rex won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 4 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.