Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x131f53ebe0e881f979ba6a7a0c949b58de2ab1765a95c7d5549399600a24b805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 27c | 326.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked Under | 26c | 294.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 74c | 274.2$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 29c | 236.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 545 | 42.2%230 W · 315 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over | 74c | 212.2$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Under | 25c | 187.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 75c | 136.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 66c | 107.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 25c | 107.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Under | 24c | 94.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 36c | 93.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…327fbacked Under | 36c | 82.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 62c | 81.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…866cbacked Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Under | 31c | 36.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…d5dfbacked Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Paper Rex won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map Handicap: PR (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 4 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.