Valorant · resolved market
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16ac8ef7782466777db451498483a799e73ac69b1fcbf022a8f9b6de343704eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 50c | 1,023$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.25 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 48c | 572.92$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under | 53c | 558.65$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.19 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Over | 47c | 417.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996a…e3ccbacked Under | 52c | 322.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Over | 47c | 296.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 52c | 262.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 53c | 131.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Paper Rex won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map Handicap: PR (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 4 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.