TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x996a…e3cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$97.6
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,771.3
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19,753Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$20,956.04
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$61.58
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98,523Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$43,586.55
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,834.96
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,497.29
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,972
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26,057Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$31,239.41
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29%+$4.04
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$12,374.99
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$82,294.9
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$14.28
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,962.63
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,721.31
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$86,576Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$97,628.64
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,620.49
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,768.27
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,361Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$2,220.84
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$964.8
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,108.8
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Will GamerLegion Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.94
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$22.88
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,725.58
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.21
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$127.5
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.44
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$244.43
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.87
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5)backed HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80,114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$52,383.51
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$146.65
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$196
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,200
Will Team Secret Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$21.84
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,982Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$2,582.46
Will LPL (China) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,230.83
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.64
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.45
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,030.56
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick33cpaid+117.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$49.78
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$50.47
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13,381Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17,030.81
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25,702Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$62,924.78
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$8,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,919.22
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$85,880Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+280.5%+$240,902.12
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,008.56
All 7 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89,647Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$70,437.07
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$152,905Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$39,623.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.9
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93,951Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$36,536.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,727.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.