Valorant · resolved market
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eff6f70accbbfd9e2f0fe4bf781abb3358c2f9e9e72620da2751b7d2a8c5979
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof Paper Rex, Leviatán Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69db…283abacked Paper Rex | 54c | 899.69$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Leviatán Esports | 46c | 895.33$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.34 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed Paper Rex | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Leviatán Esports | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Leviatán Esports | 48c | 112.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked Leviatán Esports | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Leviatán Esports | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Leviatán Esports | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…866cbacked Paper Rex | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…91b4backed Paper Rex | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Paper Rex won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map Handicap: PR (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 4 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.