TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6643…91b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$16.74
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.92
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.12
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.12
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.58
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.12
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$29.69
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$24.54
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$35.24
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: LEV (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.05
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$16.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.