Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b3aa0c2a87e7113b6a828678ce5e590dbf297945c8c4547ae0967410173a831
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 49c | 1,259$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.01 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 51c | 352.18$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.57 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…3ed2backed Over | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Over | 51c | 227.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 141.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 45c | 129.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Over | 51c | 121.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 46c | 108.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 46c | 97.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Over | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…3b8dbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 48c | 66.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 51c | 64.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…2372backed Over | 49c | 61.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239c…f7c2backed Over | 47c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…59a2backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 51c | 39.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…12f0backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd931…f92ebacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5add…f36fbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…019ebacked Under | 55c | 21.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…91b4backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.