TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof EDward Gaming, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$817,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$900,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $817,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 788 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Paper Rex68c29,999$20,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.6124145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Paper Rex55c24,620$13,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,957.2533153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming31c23,265$7,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,315.9593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Paper Rex74c20,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.9352155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed Paper Rex73c18,897$13,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,193.881485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+50.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7fe8…06c9backed EDward Gaming26c18,316$4,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,762.2560%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Paper Rex74c16,081$11,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,181.171758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Paper Rex72c15,845$11,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,431.9710455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Paper Rex74c13,338$9,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.945253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked EDward Gaming28c12,389$3,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,492.59340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed EDward Gaming53c11,625$6,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,161.3825554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Paper Rex79c11,612$9,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.671154.5%6 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick74cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed EDward Gaming25c11,394$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,848.49812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-84%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Paper Rex74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf651…c57fbacked EDward Gaming23c9,019$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.011741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fc5…e3b9backed Paper Rex78c8,225$6,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Paper Rex72c7,700$5,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.952356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed EDward Gaming27c7,502$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.4739042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed EDward Gaming30c7,429$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Paper Rex71c7,367$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.8824946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde8b…429dbacked EDward Gaming32c7,031$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec4…0ec0backed EDward Gaming21c6,171$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed EDward Gaming26c6,001$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.7746326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02e9…d23fbacked EDward Gaming26c5,555$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.84944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Paper Rex71c5,463$3,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.5126650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked EDward Gaming26c5,446$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb71d…d14bbacked EDward Gaming26c5,262$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed EDward Gaming36c5,167$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.632245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Paper Rex74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3001973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda91…30afbacked EDward Gaming54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Paper Rex74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…9fffbacked Paper Rex63c4,988$3,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.531747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Paper Rex74c4,865$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.446259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed EDward Gaming53c4,692$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.142347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Paper Rex46c4,606$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.3553159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked EDward Gaming27c4,240$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.42540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+155.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked EDward Gaming26c4,084$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.328747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed EDward Gaming15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Paper Rex69c3,986$2,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.1894361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed EDward Gaming26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004042.5%17 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Paper Rex46c3,651$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.1965559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e8…0105backed EDward Gaming28c3,526$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed EDward Gaming31c3,500$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0853243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed Paper Rex67c3,429$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.846373%46 W · 17 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed EDward Gaming26c3,392$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9715038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Paper Rex54c3,196$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.388145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Paper Rex71c3,196$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.7319860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked EDward Gaming48c3,165$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.4528541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Paper Rex70c3,123$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.5153355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Paper Rex75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7503966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Paper Rex72c3,000$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.795244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed Paper Rex71c2,931$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.787045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed EDward Gaming43c2,848$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.027544%33 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Paper Rex75c2,800$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9218457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c1…024dbacked EDward Gaming26c2,798$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.381323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked EDward Gaming26c2,745$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.6413455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Paper Rex50c2,716$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.270043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Paper Rex54c2,714$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.2168458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed EDward Gaming26c2,640$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.58538.8%33 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Paper Rex75c2,591$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.841,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Paper Rex79c2,540$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.351450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked EDward Gaming54c2,462$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.2411450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3909…a12ebacked EDward Gaming18c2,441$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.991233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45cb…99eebacked EDward Gaming29c2,405$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.61758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed EDward Gaming25c2,400$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60041734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Paper Rex74c2,384$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61256357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d62…7fe8backed EDward Gaming4c2,360$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex66c2,336$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.391,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3056…4fefbacked EDward Gaming28c2,316$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex49c2,256$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.7734857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked Paper Rex75c2,255$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.68850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ec…64b6backed EDward Gaming22c2,228$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.136028.3%17 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed EDward Gaming25c2,190$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.421,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Paper Rex49c2,174$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.3474642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed EDward Gaming53c2,130$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.910842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed EDward Gaming54c2,123$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.37812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed EDward Gaming24c2,068$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.561926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked EDward Gaming26c2,005$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.877234.7%25 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed EDward Gaming32c2,001$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.3214750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e99…ce35backed EDward Gaming24c2,000$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4851225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Paper Rex69c2,000$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.1324250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked EDward Gaming20c1,983$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Paper Rex75c1,920$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Paper Rex52c1,914$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.311,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed EDward Gaming19c1,867$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.443650%18 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed EDward Gaming25c1,864$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.3423447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked EDward Gaming29c1,838$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.51533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabcc…10b4backed EDward Gaming22c1,818$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed EDward Gaming38c1,775$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9314850.7%75 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed EDward Gaming26c1,758$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4572138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1181…f7e8backed EDward Gaming23c1,753$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.72922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed EDward Gaming29c1,750$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed EDward Gaming54c1,714$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.8117349.7%86 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed EDward Gaming26c1,683$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.761145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed EDward Gaming28c1,678$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4677347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed EDward Gaming22c1,668$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.086848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked EDward Gaming29c1,646$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.622330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe745…acf5backed EDward Gaming20c1,621$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.731330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked EDward Gaming26c1,619$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.922532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Paper Rex75c1,552$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.8668949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.