TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof Paper Rex, EDward Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89dd…f662backed Paper Rex44c14,385$6,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,328.921485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+50.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed EDward Gaming56c12,312$6,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,443.4324145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked EDward Gaming54c4,766$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.5426738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked EDward Gaming53c1,812$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.511963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe602…9446backed Paper Rex3c1,756$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Paper Rex45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6756445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Paper Rex45c1,300$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58533348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Paper Rex46c1,101$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.25850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Paper Rex47c1,036$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.7616347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed EDward Gaming55c1,025$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.241668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Paper Rex48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.995655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed EDward Gaming52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5414941.6%62 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4d…20ccbacked EDward Gaming59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.222343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Paper Rex47c631.16$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5917332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed EDward Gaming50c530.93$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9325146.6%117 W · 134 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Paper Rex39c506.69$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8731046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed EDward Gaming55c501.09$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.092240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Paper Rex46c495.82$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.4593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Paper Rex36c379.43$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2615358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Paper Rex46c362.18$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5515038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Paper Rex45c330.95$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9328955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23ae…60a6backed EDward Gaming56c322.45$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.451136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked EDward Gaming77c305$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.121153.6%113 W · 98 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Paper Rex46c288$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.483737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa614…0bafbacked Paper Rex50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed EDward Gaming54c225$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.55147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked Paper Rex46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.25660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd304…3ed2backed Paper Rex47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc927…a3c2backed Paper Rex48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Paper Rex43c190.56$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9414032.9%46 W · 94 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Paper Rex46c174.39$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013043.1%56 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x640e…e904backed Paper Rex47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Paper Rex26c156.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0369722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Paper Rex67c150.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015232.9%50 W · 102 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed EDward Gaming33c139.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.475444.4%24 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed EDward Gaming55c136.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.235536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fb…3f95backed Paper Rex46c109.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked Paper Rex46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Paper Rex54c106.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6978562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Paper Rex47c104.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.961844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90b0…b2eebacked EDward Gaming54c102.06$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.95825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Paper Rex49c99.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3360%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Paper Rex54c96.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6114452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed EDward Gaming68c89.77$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7249255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed Paper Rex46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013243.2%57 W · 75 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed EDward Gaming55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.733951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae9…5ff8backed EDward Gaming55c70.17$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed EDward Gaming50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed EDward Gaming55c57.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.926251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Paper Rex45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.58646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Paper Rex46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked EDward Gaming53c46.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.941643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4a…59d9backed Paper Rex47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010543.8%46 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Paper Rex50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Paper Rex30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215535.5%55 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa757…1a05backed EDward Gaming55c37.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.992142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7dd…12f0backed EDward Gaming54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.048043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e8…39b0backed EDward Gaming54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked EDward Gaming54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Paper Rex42c36.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.534443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d52…df50backed EDward Gaming55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked EDward Gaming33c33.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4355637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x173e…9ff4backed Paper Rex46c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.186535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Paper Rex45c31.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3918143.6%79 W · 102 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aed…69aabacked Paper Rex47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x260d…98f9backed Paper Rex47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe27…fdeebacked EDward Gaming54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.784353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Paper Rex45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1243843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Paper Rex42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0817948%86 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Paper Rex46c22.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2715560.6%94 W · 61 L+14.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3c6…0897backed Paper Rex50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.