TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe27…fdee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT6857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$16.22
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs MIBR (+6.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$12.99
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.89
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+589.7%+$294.83
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.51
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.13
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.56
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$18.92
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22.77
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+138.1%+$19.33
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.92
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT4353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)backed Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$10.45
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$66.24
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+74%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$101.15
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$102.53
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+105.6%+$15.56
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.96
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.76
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$3.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$24.43
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+145.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.