MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6a39b8770e8ded99a9c410e3054e96275f55b529d0be38278fde7ff2cdf42d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Astros, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Dodgers | 1c | 65,008$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,586.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1,156.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Dodgers | 31c | 20,762$6,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,418.01 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dodgers | 8c | 10,813$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,966.23 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 49c | 10,247$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.24 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Dodgers | 3c | 9,129$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,818.35 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Astros | 56c | 8,560$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.8 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 65c | 8,083$5,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,259.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Dodgers | 0c | 4,662$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.77 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 69c | 3,728$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Dodgers | 62c | 3,133$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.43 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Astros | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Astros | 37c | 2,971$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.12 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…e0aebacked Dodgers | 64c | 2,780$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.23 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers | 57c | 2,729$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.8 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 73c | 2,586$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.03 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Dodgers | 63c | 2,031$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.47 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ed…ca5fbacked Dodgers | 40c | 1,992$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 56c | 1,828$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.26 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 16c | 1,701$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.6 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 60c | 1,640$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…ba27backed Dodgers | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Dodgers | 63c | 1,153$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.44 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Dodgers | 11c | 1,148$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.77 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 37c | 1,139$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.6 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Astros | 37c | 1,037$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.6 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…cc0dbacked Astros | 37c | 999.96$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 37c | 999.96$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Dodgers | 63c | 903.11$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.15 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Astros | 42c | 880$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.87 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…eefdbacked Astros | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Astros | 38c | 783$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Dodgers | 63c | 783$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Dodgers | 9c | 710.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.66 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Dodgers | 9c | 700$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Dodgers | 27c | 600$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Dodgers | 63c | 595.08$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.18 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Astros | 38c | 571.05$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Astros | 37c | 497.3$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Dodgers | 62c | 456.79$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 37c | 454$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.39 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 38c | 450.01$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 37c | 441.13$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.22 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Dodgers | 5c | 415$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.6 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Astros | 36c | 410.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 28c | 399.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Astros | 37c | 375.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dodgers | 63c | 359.03$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked Dodgers | 18c | 335.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.43 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Astros | 36c | 323.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…e344backed Dodgers | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Dodgers | 63c | 277.78$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 38c | 275$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Dodgers | 30c | 269.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Astros | 38c | 265.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Astros | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Astros | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Astros | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Dodgers | 16c | 256.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.25 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Dodgers | 60c | 243.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Dodgers | 61c | 219.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers | 44c | 219.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 65c | 217.68$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Astros | 56c | 215.61$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Dodgers | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Astros | 37c | 198.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 61c | 189.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 66c | 183.4$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f91abacked Astros | 39c | 163.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Astros | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…4c11backed Dodgers | 62c | 160.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 64c | 156.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Astros | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…fdeebacked Dodgers | 10c | 139.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Astros | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Astros | 76c | 133.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…99d4backed Astros | 39c | 130.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…7158backed Astros | 38c | 118.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Dodgers | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf082…ae27backed Dodgers | 64c | 106.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…f0c8backed Astros | 37c | 101.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Astros | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Dodgers | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Dodgers | 13c | 97.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2310…8537backed Dodgers | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…568cbacked Astros | 39c | 92.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ca58backed Dodgers | 62c | 91.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Dodgers | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…2972backed Dodgers | 62c | 88.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Astros | 37c | 86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked Dodgers | 30c | 84.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Astros | 38c | 80.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Dodgers | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Astros | 37c | 78.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Astros | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3133…5b73backed Dodgers | 62c | 78.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros | 52c | 77.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.