TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a56…695b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT5352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.59
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$53.52
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$52.52
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$52.37
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$50.51
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.09
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.84
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14.45
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+203%+$30.08
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+74%+$13.07
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+161.4%+$66.63
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.54
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$12.11
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.73
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.39
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.09
Pistons vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$14.2
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$30.28
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.23
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$58.43
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$46.8
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.47
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$17.24
Ducks vs. Bruinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$22.44
Sharks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.27
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$87.29
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.54
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Blue Jackets vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$43.44
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Predators vs. Starsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.69
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.87
Sabres vs. Flyersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.64
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Gafurov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45.02
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+46.4%+$41.55
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elekana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.16
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UFC 325: Sebastian Szalay vs. Keiichiro Nakamura (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Nakamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$53.51
Bonfim vs. Padillabacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Wells vs. Gorimbobacked Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$54.16
Radtke vs. Frunzabacked Radtke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$8.3
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Bonfimbacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.42
Malott vs. Radtkebacked Radtke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.75
Katona vs. Almakhanbacked Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+25%+$7.5
Aliskerov vs. Munizbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$48.48
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.37
Sedriques Dumas vs. Michal Oleksiejczukbacked Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Tresean Gore vs. Marco Tuliobacked Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.75
Sabatini vs. Britobacked Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.55
Demopoulos vs. Alencarbacked Alencar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
All 17 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.76
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.86
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs Omanbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.72
ICC WWC: South Africa vs. Sri Lankabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$57.91
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.76
Punjab Kings vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.96
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$127
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.15
Rajasthan Royals vs. Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+149.3%+$54.87
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Rajasthan Royalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+100%+$43.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.8
Will Harris English finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.91
Will Russell Henley finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$37.6
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.66
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+55.4%+$15.26
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.8%+$14.55
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+69.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sturla Holm Laegreid (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+59.8%+$8.98
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+174.4%+$112.58
Will Martin Loewstroem Nyenget (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+25%+$8
Will Johannes Klaebo (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$47.21
All 6 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+237.4%+$90.87
FC Bayern Munchen vs. BC Dubaibacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Valencia vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+204.1%+$97.18
Virtus Bologna vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Paris Basketball vs. Real Madridbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$26.95
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.59
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$57.2
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+277.7%+$42.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-52.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$143.9
49ers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$30.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.77
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fagiano Okayama vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Fagiano Okayama vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+77%+$57.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$57.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs Valkyriesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.