TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Paris Basketball vs. Real Madrid

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paris Basketballof Paris Basketball, Real Madrid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e52…cc7ebacked Real Madrid72c7,260$5,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,204.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Real Madrid55c7,101$3,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,922.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paris Basketball50c6,912$3,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.6554251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Paris Basketball27c6,375$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,659.542544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Real Madrid22c5,516$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.7913235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Real Madrid75c3,801$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,838.3814847.3%70 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Real Madrid55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Paris Basketball26c2,956$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.513548.9%66 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Real Madrid75c2,770$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08213650%68 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Paris Basketball30c2,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7502347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Real Madrid77c1,788$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Paris Basketball70c1,689$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.314542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Paris Basketball27c1,565$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.512532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Real Madrid35c1,446$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Paris Basketball30c1,433$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Paris Basketball27c1,361$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.2316235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a15…c93fbacked Real Madrid75c1,233$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paris Basketball68c1,074$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.8318144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Real Madrid73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.23342.4%14 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-33.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Paris Basketball28c1,000$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.411835.6%42 W · 76 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Paris Basketball36c892.53$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.0843543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Real Madrid36c830.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Real Madrid20c719$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Real Madrid46c689.98$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.294841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa340…409bbacked Paris Basketball57c665$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Paris Basketball30c590.49$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.4237052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9379…3161backed Real Madrid71c566.43$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Real Madrid49c541.76$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.0231651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Real Madrid56c508.58$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.712941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Paris Basketball68c468.32$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Paris Basketball70c463.94$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4836939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Paris Basketball23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.781747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Real Madrid75c424.07$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.052360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Paris Basketball61c417.15$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.412387%20 W · 3 L+6.3wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+49.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Real Madrid54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Paris Basketball26c387.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.282927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Real Madrid77c381.82$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29410663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c1…0bc4backed Paris Basketball30c342$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+77.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Real Madrid47c337$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.067646.1%35 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Paris Basketball63c332.1$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.792556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Paris Basketball30c331.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.171442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Paris Basketball25c326.43$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+91.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Paris Basketball26c231.34$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.081442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Paris Basketball54c224.87$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4112454%67 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Paris Basketball67c223.33$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.742748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed Paris Basketball62c216.81$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Real Madrid75c213.94$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Real Madrid50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.851631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Paris Basketball23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1548440.5%34 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Real Madrid35c182.07$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.344660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Real Madrid57c175.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Paris Basketball27c175.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7613147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Paris Basketball28c174.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.14560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Paris Basketball23c157.96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.639946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Real Madrid75c155$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.252661.5%16 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Real Madrid77c150.84$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.153560%21 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Paris Basketball26c149.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5211635.3%41 W · 75 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Real Madrid70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007153.5%38 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-13.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Real Madrid73c141.1$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Paris Basketball37c134.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.118037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Real Madrid70c127.86$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.55949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Real Madrid39c125.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.654134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Paris Basketball50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Paris Basketball45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.117031.4%22 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Real Madrid46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Paris Basketball45c108.18$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.083748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5580…0507backed Paris Basketball77c106.77$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.563100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Paris Basketball24c104.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.071926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Real Madrid72c102.78$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e11…8475backed Real Madrid49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b2…bdc4backed Real Madrid55c101$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Paris Basketball26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Paris Basketball28c99.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7227338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Paris Basketball29c98.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.999255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Paris Basketball49c85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.354957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Paris Basketball48c85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.23256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked Real Madrid58c79.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.62941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Paris Basketball19c75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.751723.5%4 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick11cpaid+73.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Real Madrid35c72.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Real Madrid72c69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Paris Basketball66c68$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.365646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Paris Basketball30c66.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+82.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Paris Basketball23c64.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.038453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf693…584dbacked Real Madrid70c64.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Paris Basketball24c63.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.142871.4%20 W · 8 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+59.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Real Madrid17c63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.712450%12 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Real Madrid40c59.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.713839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Paris Basketball50c56.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3312268.9%84 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Paris Basketball53c55.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.193966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a56…695bbacked Paris Basketball51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.95560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc2…4837backed Real Madrid72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-61%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd824…8d96backed Paris Basketball26c49.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.463432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Real Madrid24c44.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Real Madrid46c44.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.45520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Real Madrid41c41.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.23348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Paris Basketball56c41.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.262060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d13…a89fbacked Real Madrid80c37.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Real Madrid51c35.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac7…3a34backed Paris Basketball35c35.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.