TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3ac7…3a34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Golf, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2321.7%5 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-60.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.04
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.61
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.25
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.8
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.22
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.72
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.54
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.78
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.51
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.19
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.79
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.92
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.24
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$17.11
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.43
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.64
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+37%+$11.1
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.18
All 23 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Wiklacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.94
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.66
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.02
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$24.56
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Malkoun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.33
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Mar Fan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.83
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.28
UFC Fight Night: Abdelwahab vs. Usmanbacked Abdelwahab · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Santos vs. Leebacked Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.82
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.08
Tresean Gore vs. Marco Tuliobacked Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+85.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC WWC: India vs. Australiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.54
Chennai Super Kings vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26.75
Paris Basketball vs. Real Madridbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$22.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Storm vs Dreambacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Fever vs Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Los Cabos: Halys vs. Ficovich backed Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+69.6%+$51.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25.89
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$55.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$26.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+38.7%+$4.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.