TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,760 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed No59c9,113$5,361 inWon+$3,752.0214043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes10c5,498$567 inLost-$566.54917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Yes17c5,494$942 inLost-$942.033444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes48c4,650$2,222 inLost-$2,222.151533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes48c4,239$2,029 inLost-$2,029.2760%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes10c1,510$158 inLost-$158.021227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes14c1,215$172 inLost-$172.241650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Yes9c1,001$90 inLost-$90.133823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes43c801$344 inLost-$343.624918.4%9 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed No62c410$253 inWon+$156.63545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed58…331dbacked Yes41c242.72$100 inLost-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-59.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes11c229$24 inLost-$24.442953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No77c200$155 inWon+$45.494748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed No80c200$159 inWon+$40.762236.4%8 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes10c199.68$20 inLost-$20.012927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6441…4e5bbacked Yes40c174.64$70 inLost-$70.211127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-46%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f20…086abacked No72c163.72$117 inWon+$46.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…1f07backed No60c125.99$75 inWon+$50.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e9d…8445backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf14f…ab58backed Yes11c112$13 inLost-$12.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No65c76.92$50 inWon+$26.924065%26 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaef2…bc22backed No75c76.38$58 inWon+$18.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…f441backed Yes43c65.77$28 inLost-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b97…efcebacked Yes43c58.28$25 inLost-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45c…e3a0backed Yes43c58.03$25 inLost-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No57c54.26$31 inWon+$23.332343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed No65c49$32 inWon+$17.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac7…3a34backed No59c42.44$25 inWon+$17.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+85.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No65c20$13 inWon+$6.992669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.