NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ae2c9b2a2fadaecdb47d63b40e9f27e1c194a585c2e45c811073446ace6a470
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers | 53c | 22,704$12,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,112.11 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers | 54c | 16,317$8,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,767.22 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nuggets | 43c | 13,125$5,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,425.32 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 40c | 12,057$4,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,259.04 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…825ebacked Nuggets | 41c | 9,625$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nuggets | 45c | 8,546$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,660.54 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Clippers | 63c | 7,907$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Nuggets | 47c | 7,013$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Nuggets | 51c | 5,580$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Clippers | 58c | 5,210$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 56c | 5,144$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Nuggets | 38c | 4,884$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Nuggets | 62c | 3,229$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.03 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Clippers | 64c | 3,200$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.1 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Nuggets | 39c | 2,857$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.66 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Clippers | 59c | 2,777$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.35 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Nuggets | 43c | 2,582$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.23 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Nuggets | 41c | 2,400$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nuggets | 45c | 1,812$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.38 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,721$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.73 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…42c6backed Clippers | 56c | 1,689$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.5 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clippers | 26c | 1,674$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.58 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Clippers | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.45 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…a469backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,606$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Clippers | 71c | 1,446$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.33 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 51c | 1,343$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.86 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Nuggets | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Nuggets | 42c | 1,173$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.09 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,000$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.44 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Clippers | 52c | 960.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 43c | 935.83$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2296…f651backed Clippers | 65c | 919.47$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13c…03debacked Clippers | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 827.55$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…e0d4backed Nuggets | 40c | 826.83$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.1 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers | 55c | 652.34$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.22 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nuggets | 47c | 639.88$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.13 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Clippers | 48c | 581.99$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.91 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Clippers | 58c | 559.69$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.63 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Clippers | 60c | 556.97$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…81f3backed Clippers | 65c | 538.92$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Nuggets | 44c | 525$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…2be0backed Clippers | 45c | 510.33$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Nuggets | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 40c | 470$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 40c | 435.3$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.7 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Clippers | 57c | 427.7$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Nuggets | 58c | 417.39$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.95 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Clippers | 55c | 389.25$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.41 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…2dfcbacked Nuggets | 42c | 380$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Clippers | 57c | 351.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Clippers | 48c | 334.8$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nuggets | 46c | 330.7$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Nuggets | 45c | 317.27$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…b26bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 310$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5928…e378backed Nuggets | 48c | 297.92$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d0…d5aebacked Nuggets | 48c | 282$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Nuggets | 40c | 260.52$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Nuggets | 43c | 253.09$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.12 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Nuggets | 40c | 245$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…05bdbacked Nuggets | 32c | 240.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nuggets | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…feacbacked Clippers | 60c | 230$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…ed91backed Nuggets | 40c | 226.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Nuggets | 41c | 208.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…a702backed Nuggets | 39c | 201.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Nuggets | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Clippers | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…25d9backed Nuggets | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Nuggets | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Nuggets | 40c | 194.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed Nuggets | 43c | 184.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Nuggets | 45c | 176.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Nuggets | 40c | 172.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Nuggets | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nuggets | 46c | 122$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…a698backed Nuggets | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Nuggets | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…b3a0backed Nuggets | 36c | 107.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 55c | 107.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79d…69a4backed Nuggets | 43c | 106.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Clippers | 58c | 105$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Nuggets | 44c | 104.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Nuggets | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Clippers | 55c | 100.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d949backed Nuggets | 50c | 100.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed Nuggets | 48c | 100.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Clippers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Clippers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…9156backed Clippers | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Nuggets | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Nuggets | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Nuggets | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…68b8backed Clippers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…edccbacked Nuggets | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…2c00backed Clippers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Clippersthis page
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.