TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d0b…25d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Chess at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST3161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$178
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+41%+$291
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+42.3%+$80.3
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$27.6
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.9%+$331.87
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+185.7%+$71.5
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$35.1
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+28%+$153
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$96
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$53.9
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+43.2%+$81.4
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+159.7%+$123
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.4
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$12.72
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$665.6
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Oilers vs. Hurricanesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+140.5%+$108.92
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+31.5%+$53.8
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$108
Blue Jackets vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+61.3%+$41.8
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.01
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.6
Oilers vs. Senatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.75
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$550
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$896.05
Will a Canadian team win NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$93
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.59
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+197.6%+$33.2
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$38.99
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.97
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+105.6%+$158.68
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+188.9%+$68.45
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$47.3
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$500.09
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+114.7%+$160.3
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+154.2%+$182
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DraftKings say "Prediction" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,601
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.