NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc743dbde921714dd8cc6137dd110a7f5793d8caa62ff5d7d7d94df6ade6bb2ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Oilers, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Sabres | 42c | 145,844$61,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,353.1 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 58c | 16,716$9,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,696.57 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Oilers | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Oilers | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,960 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Oilers | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,960 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Oilers | 14c | 10,007$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.04 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 57c | 9,500$5,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,415 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Sabres | 41c | 9,440$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,569.51 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Oilers | 58c | 9,400$5,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…c488backed Oilers | 58c | 9,200$5,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,336 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 58c | 8,995$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,217.1 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…178ebacked Oilers | 58c | 8,492$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Oilers | 22c | 6,835$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Oilers | 58c | 6,578$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.4 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oilers | 58c | 6,060$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.21 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…3e9cbacked Oilers | 59c | 5,561$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…72a2backed Sabres | 41c | 5,554$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sabres | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Oilers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Oilers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Oilers | 57c | 4,210$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.7 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Oilers | 60c | 4,103$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.66 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Oilers | 51c | 4,043$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.93 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 74c | 3,723$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.6 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Oilers | 57c | 3,382$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.79 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Oilers | 58c | 3,250$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Sabres | 68c | 3,115$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Oilers | 58c | 3,034$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.1 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Oilers | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Sabres | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Oilers | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.99 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Oilers | 58c | 2,890$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.2 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…2834backed Sabres | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b87…d735backed Oilers | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sabres | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oilers | 19c | 2,450$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.93 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers | 57c | 2,163$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.68 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 38c | 2,159$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.62 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Oilers | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 64c | 1,745$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.84 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Sabres | 41c | 1,732$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.71 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Oilers | 59c | 1,731$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.27 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x971a…ea89backed Sabres | 41c | 1,719$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.09 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 57c | 1,701$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.72 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Oilers | 60c | 1,677$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sabres | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 57c | 1,500$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.48 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…1922backed Oilers | 24c | 1,465$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.8 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…25d9backed Oilers | 52c | 1,270$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Oilers | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 35c | 1,250$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.22 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Oilers | 33c | 1,226$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Sabres | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Oilers | 59c | 1,164$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.75 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oilers | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers | 1c | 1,083$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Oilers | 25c | 1,024$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.21 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 57c | 1,000$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Oilers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Sabres | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Oilers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…1760backed Sabres | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Oilers | 60c | 975$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…19ffbacked Sabres | 43c | 850$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…19dfbacked Oilers | 58c | 850$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sabres | 76c | 805.65$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sabres | 40c | 799.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Sabres | 43c | 770$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.9 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…a88ebacked Oilers | 58c | 770$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Sabres | 42c | 753$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.3 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Oilers | 60c | 726.67$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Sabres | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers | 57c | 657$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.49 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 60c | 633$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.8 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 56c | 616.94$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…e516backed Sabres | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Oilers | 58c | 546$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.68 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 58c | 516$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.28 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Sabres | 79c | 515$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Oilers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Oilers | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Sabres | 40c | 499.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.96 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Sabres | 41c | 482.93$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.93 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Sabres | 41c | 470.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.08 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Oilers | 59c | 463.35$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.86 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Oilers | 19c | 455.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sabres | 48c | 452.52$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Oilers | 58c | 450$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Oilers | 56c | 446.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.07 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Oilers | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oilers | 5c | 394.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Oilers | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Oilers | 57c | 370.83$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.47 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Sabres | 40c | 360$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…3b6dbacked Oilers | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sabres | 40c | 340.82$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.49 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Sabresthis page
- Oilers vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.