TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x971a…ea89

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$774.38
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$627.93
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$184.8
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$92.41
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.72
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.94
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$205.01
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.62
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$157.91
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$144.06
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$298.16
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$707.26
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.47
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$109.16
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$568.57
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$213.24
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.87
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$321.56
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$120.91
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$160.4
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.38
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.69
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$840.18
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.19
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.21
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.9
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.49
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.08
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.26
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.3
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$348.36
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.77
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$216.3
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$386
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.84
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.33
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.97
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$350.93
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.1
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$293.78
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$207.28
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.8
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.6
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.38
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.37
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.19
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.46
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.16
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.58
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$218.28
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.3
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$101.08
Wuning 2: Keegan Smith vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$47.36
Barcelona Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.9
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+179%+$181.03
Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.57
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.28
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$97.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.