NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb680319561cc16a1da7a10970cb810b8c410be100a47fab38e9c0f0356c8a187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $757,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $759,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 633 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Ducks | 10c | 165,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Ducks | 27c | 50,000$13,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,699.96 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Golden Knights | 53c | 37,468$19,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,742.81 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Golden Knights | 74c | 29,189$21,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,511 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…3535backed Ducks | 0c | 20,219$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Golden Knights | 50c | 19,959$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,959.42 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Golden Knights | 66c | 19,245$12,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,469.65 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Ducks | 34c | 15,074$5,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,185.87 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 44c | 11,247$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.55 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 48c | 10,717$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141.84 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…8d08backed Ducks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Golden Knights | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Ducks | 0c | 8,700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Ducks | 49c | 8,484$4,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.15 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 50c | 8,277$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Golden Knights | 65c | 7,641$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.11 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 50c | 6,949$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.43 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Golden Knights | 72c | 6,613$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.52 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Ducks | 50c | 5,551$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.97 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ducks | 29c | 5,440$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.18 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Golden Knights | 50c | 5,076$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.07 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…0e17backed Ducks | 0c | 5,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 30c | 5,028$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.53 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Golden Knights | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Ducks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.94 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Ducks | 3c | 5,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 4,933$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Ducks | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Ducks | 21c | 4,295$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Ducks | 27c | 4,155$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.6 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Ducks | 50c | 3,694$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.94 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights | 67c | 3,462$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.69 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Golden Knights | 50c | 3,228$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.05 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Ducks | 27c | 3,196$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Ducks | 50c | 3,145$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Ducks | 11c | 3,077$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.63 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Ducks | 50c | 3,055$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.5 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks | 15c | 3,054$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.14 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Ducks | 5c | 3,036$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Ducks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7041…3077backed Golden Knights | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ducks | 37c | 2,775$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.76 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa290…f0dfbacked Ducks | 50c | 2,746$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 66c | 2,686$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.58 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights | 51c | 2,402$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.14 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Ducks | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Ducks | 50c | 2,292$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.82 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Ducks | 2c | 2,244$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c6…6657backed Ducks | 17c | 2,217$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Golden Knights | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ducks | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Ducks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Ducks | 25c | 1,986$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.89 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Golden Knights | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Ducks | 50c | 1,842$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Golden Knights | 73c | 1,665$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.56 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Golden Knights | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Ducks | 32c | 1,566$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Ducks | 25c | 1,549$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.41 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Ducks | 50c | 1,447$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Ducks | 29c | 1,443$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.75 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Golden Knights | 64c | 1,383$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.72 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 1,375$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.89 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Golden Knights | 75c | 1,257$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.69 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Golden Knights | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ducks | 26c | 1,172$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.05 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Golden Knights | 68c | 1,144$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.92 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Ducks | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…842dbacked Ducks | 8c | 1,134$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ducks | 31c | 1,127$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb880…0d98backed Ducks | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Golden Knights | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Ducks | 11c | 1,020$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Golden Knights | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…a0f0backed Ducks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…e364backed Ducks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Ducks | 50c | 999.98$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 999.2$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.39 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…ec6bbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…544dbacked Ducks | 7c | 941.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b6…a412backed Ducks | 3c | 885.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ducks | 44c | 808.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.49 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Ducks | 9c | 805.71$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Golden Knights | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Golden Knights | 50c | 793$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.5 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Ducks | 51c | 777$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x971a…ea89backed Ducks | 50c | 772$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Ducks | 18c | 752.52$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Ducks | 18c | 721.26$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 49c | 694.58$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.34 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed Ducks | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Golden Knights | 64c | 608.18$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Ducks | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Ducks | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…76b4backed Golden Knights | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Ducksthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.