TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,611

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Over48c28,595$13,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,869.232147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40026849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0325…01bcbacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c4,936$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.472334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under51c3,605$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.5512146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over48c3,078$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.0227044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9910743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c2,402$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.162,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14d4…c4bfbacked Under55c2,268$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.39650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over45c2,077$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.110545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under42c1,991$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.7138551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under52c1,922$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.2811952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c1,546$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.931,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over59c1,474$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.6389355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under53c1,439$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.5828749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Under52c1,300$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67624847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Under51c1,200$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.991030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd988…cbe4backed Over48c1,026$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52033652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Over49c999.89$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under42c986$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.4628652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under53c856.8$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.026456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over58c844.43$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.6613841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over65c694.44$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4412357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under40c683.04$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.062951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under33c632.26$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6399638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over44c553.44$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.933831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Over54c475.15$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.522147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under54c428$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1220756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under42c424.65$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1317248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over46c378.43$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5735551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over61c376.71$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.798469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over60c374.42$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9310166.3%67 W · 34 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under39c328.67$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.083,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under48c300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over47c299.98$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over51c284.88$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3911933.6%40 W · 79 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under41c279.08$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.428345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over61c271.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.331,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8105…a0a5backed Under53c254.72$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under52c244$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8831848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under41c237.38$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4392049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under42c235.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.165653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over51c226.88$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.744761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under28c208.93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.56743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over54c205$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.25855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0856…ecc5backed Over61c201.64$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6782353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10431148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4589…5ea9backed Under51c190.31$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under42c181.67$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.864252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under54c179$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6621549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8512…a38cbacked Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under38c178$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.544151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over61c171.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2327659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Over54c165.38$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.334168.3%28 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under36c161.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.591,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over56c156.49$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8616443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over59c155.56$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.592454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under40c151$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0234547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over58c148.57$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3314254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over57c147.39$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1221355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under37c142.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.717642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Over63c142.22$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.534443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over50c140$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.71,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under38c137.02$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0726154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Under40c126$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.664447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Under41c125$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.252857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Under40c122.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.181154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over71c116.89$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.134351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f3…25dfbacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.113271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Under50c109.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513442.5%57 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under37c100.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1529533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa8…6e47backed Under41c100.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5814653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445b…cc32backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.518931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587580%60 W · 15 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5259852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69dd…4d94backed Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Under53c98.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5213860.9%84 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over56c95.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4260449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c86.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Over61c86.74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.74977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under39c85.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3338447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under29c83.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.339321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed Under38c83.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over55c81.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.252867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under52c80.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.955147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Under35c79.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2870%0 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Under53c75.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.767533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under54c74.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4820350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under40c72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4451343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over60c71.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7111949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under37c69.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6212045.8%55 W · 65 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.