NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x812f55a6a9c2d80dc19126603377ed0cebaafcecfcd474f4e54849857ba73789
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Over | 48c | 28,595$13,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,869.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…01bcbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 4,936$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 51c | 3,605$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.55 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 48c | 3,078$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.02 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 2,402$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.16 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…c4bfbacked Under | 55c | 2,268$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 45c | 2,077$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.1 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 42c | 1,991$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.71 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 1,922$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.28 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,546$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.93 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 1,474$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.63 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 1,439$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.58 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Under | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Under | 51c | 1,200$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…cbe4backed Over | 48c | 1,026$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Over | 49c | 999.89$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 42c | 986$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.46 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 53c | 856.8$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.02 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 844.43$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.66 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 65c | 694.44$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 40c | 683.04$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.06 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 33c | 632.26$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 44c | 553.44$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.93 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Over | 54c | 475.15$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 54c | 428$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.12 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 42c | 424.65$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 46c | 378.43$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.57 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 61c | 376.71$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 60c | 374.42$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 328.67$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 51c | 284.88$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 41c | 279.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 61c | 271.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Under | 53c | 254.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 244$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 237.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 42c | 235.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 51c | 226.88$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 28c | 208.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 54c | 205$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…ecc5backed Over | 61c | 201.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…5ea9backed Under | 51c | 190.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 42c | 181.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 54c | 179$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…a38cbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 38c | 178$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 61c | 171.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 54c | 165.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 36c | 161.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 56c | 156.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 59c | 155.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 40c | 151$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 148.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 57c | 147.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 37c | 142.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Over | 63c | 142.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 50c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 38c | 137.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Under | 40c | 126$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Under | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Under | 40c | 122.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 71c | 116.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…25dfbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 50c | 109.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 37c | 100.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Under | 41c | 100.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…cc32backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…4d94backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Under | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 56c | 95.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 86.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 61c | 86.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 39c | 85.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 29c | 83.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Under | 38c | 83.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 55c | 81.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 52c | 80.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Under | 35c | 79.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Under | 53c | 75.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 54c | 74.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 40c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 60c | 71.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 37c | 69.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. DucksGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.