TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8105…a0a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
203
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winnerbacked InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.83
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$34.47
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$36.36
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$36.36
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.96
Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH (BO5) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.78
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$61.51
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$98.74
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.15
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$152.53
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$53.46
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.7
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.41
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$98.76
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$144.45
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiujiang: Fajing Sun vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Huzhou: Jiajing Lu vs Varvara Panshinabacked Varvara Panshina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37.59
Sinner vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$26.71
Griekspoor vs. Musetti: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.7
Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNallybacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.34
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$65.31
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Madrid Open: Iga Swiatek vs Ann Libacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.79
Damm vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$62.52
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Sergey Fominbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.64
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.09
Norrie vs. Jodar: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120.52
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Muchova (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.55
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Barcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.47
Set 1 Winner: Tu vs Ellisbacked Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.54
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Leandro Riedibacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.21
Set Handicap: Baptiste (-1.5) vs Shymanovich (+1.5)backed Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.15
Set Handicap: Salkova (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5)backed Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.45
Wendelken vs. Tu: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.89
Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Li Tubacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$108.29
Set Handicap: Pieri (-1.5) vs Babel (+1.5)backed Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.28
Sun vs. Kotov: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.83
Joao Fonseca vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$121.48
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$78.41
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$21.37
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$54.09
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+186.5%+$177.93
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$107.95
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+91%+$75.16
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.52
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.44
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.43
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.83
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.78
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$34.7
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.89
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78.05
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$35.09
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.11
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$215.25
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$213.14
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$26.54
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$24.69
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.59
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$36.01
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$35.04
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.76
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$72.3
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$72.12
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$64.32
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.71
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.75
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$70.19
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$101.67
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$57.67
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.19
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$41.03
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.2
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.55
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$33.79
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$23.99
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$114.55
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$45.86
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$31.77
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$38.01
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$35.97
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$772.79
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.94
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$30.95
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$87.51
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$97.55
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$67.5
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$72.9
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.66
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.83
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.18
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$66.08
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$40.17
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$39.16
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.58
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$32.81
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$34.28
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$54.97
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$48.81
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$43.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota State Bisonbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+32.9%+$98.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$51.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.