MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac101507e193032a9ddcd4aaea792bfaa69f330f9ac14a27154fbb1b0618cc75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,237,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,154,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,237,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 166,666$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,666.2 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 150,000$97,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,524.34 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 94,545$45,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,163.43 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 73,131$37,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,500.73 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 69,443$36,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,110.36 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 50,185$20,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,207.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 48,077$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…36c4backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 44,501$22,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,234.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 30,418$15,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,589.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 27,358$13,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,520.42 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 27,327$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,726.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…1128backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 25,102$13,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,958.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 19,531$10,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,172.78 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 17,716$9,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,795.11 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 17,057$8,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,528.57 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 16,697$8,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,880.55 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 15,318$9,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,937.08 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 15,201$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,301.02 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 14,518$7,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,404.15 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 12,727$6,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,618.18 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 11,905$5,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,168.66 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 11,640$6,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,052.8 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals | 7c | 10,218$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.64 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…a58dbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38f…5048backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 8,717$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 8,688$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.4 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 8,275$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.74 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 7,122$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.88 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 7,051$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.25 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 6,944$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.48 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 6,582$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.9 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals | 12c | 5,830$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.56 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 5,750$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.47 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…bc1ebacked San Diego Padres | 24c | 5,607$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +320.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 5,573$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.05 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 5,525$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.06 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 5,278$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.31 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…26e8backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 4,363$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 4,075$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 4,036$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.36 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 3,928$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.93 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 3,712$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 3,531$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.97 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 3,503$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 3,483$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.64 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 3,406$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.13 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 3,334$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.68 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 3,110$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.76 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 3,047$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.44 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 3,028$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 2,728$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.04 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 2,701$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.95 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 2,692$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.38 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…d3ebbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,555$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,431$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.36 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 2,343$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.21 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked San Diego Padres | 79c | 2,318$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.84 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c5…668ebacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,149$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 2,031$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.48 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,000$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.11 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…db18backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,994$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,950$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 1,943$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.03 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…a869backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,764$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 72c | 1,748$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.17 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…18a2backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 1,680$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,609$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.08 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,500$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.5 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,467$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.06 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…1862backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,442$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.19 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,395$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.4 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,315$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,189$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.24 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked San Diego Padres | 27c | 1,128$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.36 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.