MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec41f7db20d417e0eaa06a378458ffe1d93a608aba98fd323ae24fe6d159215b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 54c | 180,349$96,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,959.61 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 46c | 63,333$29,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,899.82 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 46c | 31,261$14,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,880.94 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 18,241$8,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,784.99 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 13,779$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,365.37 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 46c | 10,350$4,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,589 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 46c | 10,063$4,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,434.03 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over | 46c | 6,583$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.61 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 45c | 5,160$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.24 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Over | 46c | 4,592$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.92 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 3,710$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.71 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 46c | 2,737$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.99 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 1,785$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.84 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 51c | 1,612$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.06 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 63c | 1,553$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.61 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Over | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 46c | 1,178$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.12 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 1,175$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.2 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 1,058$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…57ebbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 893.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 812.12$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 54c | 658.25$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.47 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 54c | 613.06$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.05 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 599.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.08 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 46c | 505.07$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.74 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 46c | 499$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.46 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 457.25$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 47c | 402$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.06 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 400$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Under | 54c | 366.04$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.66 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 35c | 286.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 52c | 284.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Under | 39c | 253.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 46c | 246.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…cba0backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Under | 54c | 217$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 53c | 205.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 57c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 55c | 185$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Over | 46c | 177.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 47c | 159.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed Over | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 155.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 54c | 148.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 146$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 145$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 54c | 109.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Under | 51c | 94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…c435backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 55c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Under | 54c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 48c | 77.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2c…164ebacked Over | 59c | 67.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 46c | 65.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 62.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Over | 47c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…04c8backed Under | 55c | 56.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Over | 46c | 54.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 51.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 45.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 55c | 37.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…a024backed Under | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…8260backed Under | 53c | 36.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 44c | 30.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Over | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 61c | 30.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed Under | 54c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsSan Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.