MLB · resolved market
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf071c3ce0bcc42469839bea78d8c275522126e8030fd06c0224994db27a9aac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Washington Nationals, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 972.45$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.93 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Washington Nationals | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 312.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 220.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 206$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 90.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 80.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 136 | 72.1%98 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…77d2backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 48.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…b52dbacked San Diego Padres | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 63cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…fd62backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 44.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…8ba7backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 44.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 70cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…a2ddbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b5f5backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 42.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 70cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…44e9backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 41.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…e8b3backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 40.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…745bbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 40.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 40.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…5010backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 39.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e4…0d44backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 39.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…2dc5backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…3b98backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 38.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…90e5backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 38.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…a206backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 37.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…2ad0backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 37.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5b…59b8backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…8539backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 36.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…c58dbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 36.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…f9fbbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 36.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…a57cbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8174…32dbbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 35.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…8e36backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 35.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…e5bebacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 35.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…6756backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 35.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…f4f1backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 35.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…0ab2backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 35.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…3732backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 35.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…7599backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 35.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…ae3cbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 34.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…6ed2backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 34.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…d900backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 34.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…5982backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 34.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…fbe1backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…b0c6backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…abaebacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 33.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…8a41backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 33.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…6100backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 33.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…cc49backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 33.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…9f54backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 33.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…6e15backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f7…d4a3backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 32.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc00b…ae4ebacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 32.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…4681backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 32.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…aceabacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…6d30backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 31.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…aa45backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 31.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…7009backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 31.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…b1c5backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 31.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4141…b90fbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…f9d8backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 30.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…e021backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 30.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…f54bbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 30.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…e320backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 30.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…a79cbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 30.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd33…00c4backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 30.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…8ca5backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 30.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…093cbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 30.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40aa…b99bbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 30.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…870dbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 29.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…bc81backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 29.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…0380backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 29.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…c7f6backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 29.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…8914backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 29.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…7f2ebacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 29.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8eebbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 28.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…dc0bbacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 28.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c38…c255backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 27.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…8698backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 27.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…0720backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 26.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…b036backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 18.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsSan Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.