MLB · resolved market
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x739003b9e6677c20418bcca72db3dc5586c24d684c1e0cbdaa5fc82e2c18f131
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 24,505$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,505.09 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Washington Nationals | 63c | 12,336$7,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,771.54 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 7,863$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.25 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 6,757$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.76 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 4,301$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.59 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 4,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 3,442$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…4e19backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 2,964$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 24c | 1,192$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.31 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…bf72backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 1,182$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,173$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.67 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.75 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,067$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.65 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 1,028$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.4 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…60b5backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 871.91$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.15 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 700$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 682.14$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.36 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 596.87$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.77 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 590$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 578.17$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.26 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 500.95$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.58 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 440$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 354.41$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.94 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 332.81$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 299.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.78 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 250$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 194 | 35.6%69 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 232.37$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 226.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…92e9backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 223.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 218.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 153.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 143.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 67c | 141.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 140$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 128.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 116$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 114.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 114.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 113.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 111.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 106.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Padres | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 100.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 86.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…e3c7backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 78.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 74.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Washington Nationals | 63c | 60.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 55.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 467 | 59.7%279 W · 188 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…c61ebacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 54.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 572 | 44.6%255 W · 317 L | -35.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 49.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 48.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 43.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 36.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 35.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 32.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 31.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 29.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb23…e454backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 27.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 198 | 54.5%108 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18a…1c89backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 22.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 21.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 19.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 17.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 252 | 60.7%153 W · 99 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…96a8backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsSan Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.