La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b454ecf7d6f4b6a124297119b3e6b62a78d2ab0d06ab4a9adfa5ed88cf87c32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Over | 53c | 17,786$9,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,359.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 16,477$7,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,834.72 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 51c | 9,509$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.98 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 47c | 5,501$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.67 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 3,509$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.08 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 50c | 3,395$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.5 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 32c | 3,124$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.79 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 44c | 2,403$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 31c | 2,165$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.02 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,967$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.91 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 56c | 1,647$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.5 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 65c | 1,513$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.52 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 1,429$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.98 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 55c | 1,238$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 1,186$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.04 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 1,175$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.32 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 1,090$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.83 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,052$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.62 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…36cabacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.75 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 947.55$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.01 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 50c | 936.9$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.45 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 56c | 885.98$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.83 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 20c | 752.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 700.78$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.43 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 56c | 695.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…48d4backed Over | 53c | 605.08$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.39 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 605.01$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.71 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 47c | 600$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 28c | 545.2$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 54c | 493.09$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.36 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 51c | 446.48$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 128 | 63.3%81 W · 47 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 48c | 431.04$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 404.37$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 16c | 379.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 57c | 377.56$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.56 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 373.56$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 53c | 366.97$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 4c | 320.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 56c | 312.94$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.69 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…6d10backed Under | 33c | 290.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 48c | 240.86$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 14c | 232.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Under | 45c | 215.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 55c | 191.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 48c | 184.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…9aacbacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 50c | 173.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 50c | 167.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…c50abacked Over | 50c | 151.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Under | 45c | 150.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 49c | 149.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 13c | 148.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 45c | 137$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Over | 56c | 132.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…f353backed Under | 16c | 120.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over | 53c | 100.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 48c | 100.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 55c | 99.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 47c | 98.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 66c | 94.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Over | 53c | 91.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Over | 52c | 88.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 86.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 53c | 84.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 47c | 83.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 34c | 82.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 44c | 81.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…64bdbacked Under | 51c | 76.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…957bbacked Under | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 55c | 70.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Over | 47c | 67.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +113%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 62.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…5652backed Over | 52c | 61.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 50c | 60.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.