La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdda0115ed986c1cc38d2775424fc4ec7acfe752792af95871a277f9e3ccab0a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 1c | 5,452$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 21c | 3,999$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.22 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Under | 62c | 3,514$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 2,857$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.14 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 56c | 1,836$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.35 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 15c | 1,477$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.24 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 30c | 1,317$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.53 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Under | 2c | 999.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 68c | 915.15$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.55 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 34c | 847.41$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.29 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 809.17$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.49 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 806.35$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.96 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 41c | 779.19$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.72 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 40c | 758.33$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 749.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.84 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…5ba1backed Under | 66c | 742.15$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Under | 68c | 721.18$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 575.45$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.2 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 36c | 557.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.43 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 45c | 536.96$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.33 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Under | 45c | 498.61$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.19 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 42c | 482.6$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 4c | 471.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 28c | 446.23$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.57 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 37c | 432.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.21 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 72c | 410.65$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.93 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 32c | 387.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.45 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 15c | 296.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Under | 78c | 250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 67c | 182.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 71c | 173.82$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 21c | 168.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 32c | 158.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 32c | 147.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…8e6bbacked Over | 70c | 133$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…6875backed Under | 56c | 130.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c4…89cfbacked Under | 75c | 118.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Under | 68c | 100.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 98.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c0…f0c5backed Over | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d9…cfc2backed Under | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 80c | 91.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +9.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 46c | 90.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 31c | 89.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 30c | 79.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 50c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Over | 46c | 69.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 29c | 66.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 42c | 63.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Over | 46c | 62.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Over | 55c | 61.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 41c | 58.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Under | 52c | 56.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 32c | 55.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Under | 37c | 54.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 32c | 50.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 68c | 49.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 55c | 44.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 33c | 44.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 68c | 43.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 48c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 63c | 39.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 62c | 39.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 45c | 39.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 60c | 39.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 65c | 33.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…d14fbacked Under | 68c | 30.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Under | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 23.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 74c | 23.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 72c | 22.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317a…d6f5backed Under | 60c | 22.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5a…669bbacked Over | 78c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 61c | 17.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.