TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,526 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6945…729cbacked Under1c5,452$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.543740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over21c3,999$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.223438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Under62c3,514$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.73616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c2,857$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.143,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under56c1,836$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.3560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under15c1,477$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2413251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over30c1,317$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.531,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5509147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Under2c999.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under68c915.15$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.5548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over34c847.41$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.294440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c809.17$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.494,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over51c806.35$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.9661657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over41c779.19$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.7222553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under40c758.33$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over32c749.64$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.8417128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x734e…5ba1backed Under66c742.15$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc68a…07f0backed Under68c721.18$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.4875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c575.45$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.21,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over36c557.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.4399933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over45c536.96$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.333145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22f7…b205backed Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under45c498.61$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.193033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under42c482.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.693834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under4c471.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8511819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over28c446.23$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.571,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under37c432.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.215339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under72c410.65$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9323152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over32c387.43$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.455547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over64c305.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0712875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under15c296.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.066446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under53c275.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.776334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Under78c250$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951283.3%10 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick76cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under67c182.18$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0610168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under71c173.82$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.422441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under21c168.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9383939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over32c158.54$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8150449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over32c147.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7919555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under73c134.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.381225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x34de…8e6bbacked Over70c133$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under56c130.93$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.321233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5c4…89cfbacked Under75c118.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.64714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Under68c100.42$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.28540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under59c98.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95c0…f0c5backed Over30c95.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0d9…cfc2backed Under41c94.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over80c91.88$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.384376.7%33 W · 10 L+9.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Over46c90.13$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.513354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over31c89.6$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5869750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over30c79.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8849228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under70c75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6923455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over66c74.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2322450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over50c73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.52536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under68c72.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.043461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3061…916ebacked Over46c69.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.35742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under29c66.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3545841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over42c63.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.856243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Over46c62.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.917936.7%29 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked Over55c61.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.832339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.47949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over41c58.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4814140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb09a…7fc7backed Under52c56.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over32c55.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5468450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Under37c54.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over32c50.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0145450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under68c49.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3517455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over32c45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over55c44.37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.920241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over33c44.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.643053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under68c43.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick65cpaid-61.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over48c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.465133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over63c39.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.644362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked Under62c39.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.441752.9%9 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under45c39.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7212626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under60c39.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4213760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under65c33.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5323957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5619345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x846d…d14fbacked Under68c30.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Under71c27.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.656453.1%34 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over54c23.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.959655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over74c23.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.931283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under72c22.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4527758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x317a…d6f5backed Under60c22.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Under71c19.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.957454.1%40 W · 34 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f5a…669bbacked Over78c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over61c17.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9120253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.