La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeb69f4ee3a150c8354bf308b7d12140d2be709e8ce584700b6d2c03a65c4216
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 19c | 1,639$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.73 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 1,360$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.51 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked No | 8c | 1,291$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 1,006$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.51 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Yes | 61c | 800.49$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 40c | 672.73$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.67 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 61c | 437.85$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.76 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23e3…23c6backed No | 42c | 392.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 58c | 389.46$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 58c | 388.33$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.1 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 40c | 385.6$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 327.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 31c | 321.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 58c | 251.94$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes | 57c | 218.94$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…9aacbacked Yes | 58c | 168.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 41c | 163.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 72c | 162.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 59c | 157.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 57c | 153.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 131.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 40c | 123.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 61c | 111.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 57c | 102.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 101.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked No | 42c | 94.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…bb76backed Yes | 59c | 87.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 56c | 81.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +11.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Yes | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Yes | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked No | 20c | 78.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 76.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 75.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Yes | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 64.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 61c | 49.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 65c | 45.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 43c | 41.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed Yes | 55c | 39.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x317a…d6f5backed No | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 42c | 38.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 51c | 34.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 57c | 33.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 43c | 33.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked No | 43c | 32.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 61c | 30.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd145…c438backed No | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 59c | 26.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcc…3601backed No | 43c | 24.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…88acbacked Yes | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…ebb0backed Yes | 60c | 22.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…5c8dbacked Yes | 58c | 19.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.