TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb272…bb76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.93
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+557.1%+$501.37
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.87
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: England (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.03
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.18
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$34
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.14
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$46.34
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$75.76
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.46
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39.85
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.31
Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.97
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$57.05
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.47
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$36.58
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$53.56
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$135.04
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.07
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$35.33
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.92
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.48
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$108.32
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$67.22
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$46.58
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$55.64
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$27.82
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$36.76
Leeds United FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$24.06
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.71
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.33
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.8
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.85
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.08
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$150.58
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$59.64
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.32
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.43
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.56
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$195.09
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.86
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.88
Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$39.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.