TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No48c3,734$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.83,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes48c2,971$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.783135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked No52c1,446$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.662055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked No50c1,192$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c1,060$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.0596947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.416944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No52c635.61$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.41,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No52c601.22$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6188048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8361…c9c9backed Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c433.97$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.912,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ad…fb53backed Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+54.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8562…ad77backed Yes50c368$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1843100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes49c346.94$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.942740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cff…db9cbacked Yes49c346.94$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+153.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes55c345.45$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.452250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c286.4$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes48c270.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8311536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No50c259$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.791,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No49c209.9$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.570239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes49c204.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes52c191.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8327437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes49c175.58$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.582157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No51c173.36$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6156849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1534…ae26backed Yes57c164.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes67c164.18$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.181573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Yes61c155$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes48c129.17$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.172642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9680…60babacked Yes52c115$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes48c103.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.14557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.043138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Yes50c101.01$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5125157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…bb76backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes48c97.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.859345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No52c92.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.128254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No52c92.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1211443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Yes49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.631656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed No40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b8d…f78abacked No51c78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x297d…8941backed Yes49c71.53$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.53728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c2…349abacked Yes49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No47c67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.741,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes49c61.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabbc…2200backed Yes49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked No52c57.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fad…7667backed Yes48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d9…c160backed Yes49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Yes49c50.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d58…17a9backed Yes64c50.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.516543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed Yes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No52c48.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.994546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Yes54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed No52c42.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.33955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No51c42.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.84143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes48c41.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7423461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.677628.9%22 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.911275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.825752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.463063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No52c38.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.997357.5%42 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No35c38.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4676941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked No52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.765435.2%19 W · 35 L-8.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes52c37.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.944269%29 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No51c36.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.535635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes47c34.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.387143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2510761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2119…9303backed Yes48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c96…5099backed Yes49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.614757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.353857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No50c29.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10f…56f4backed Yes51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Yes53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.752445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No46c28.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.092934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb54…0943backed Yes50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No51c26.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.672944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes65c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.18351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbd…7158backed Yes55c25.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked No52c25.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes66c25.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.519164.8%59 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8b…39b5backed Yes49c23.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f57…8bcbbacked Yes50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5483…5e9fbacked Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f2b…27debacked Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.