Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba1a63d4e9a94651004774c659c846b6f71591bff0f7c20e2a1fb08453fafb23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under | 55c | 29,866$16,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,426.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,222.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 11,649$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,690.12 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 7,111$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.48 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 5,246$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.61 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.92 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under | 60c | 2,075$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 57c | 1,835$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.67 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 35c | 1,748$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.08 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 1,691$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.7 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 65c | 1,530$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.64 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 33c | 1,523$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 1,478$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.84 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 58c | 1,408$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…b655backed Under | 58c | 1,362$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 67c | 1,326$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 58c | 1,242$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.58 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Over | 45c | 1,213$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 42c | 1,010$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…79b6backed Over | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfc…e387backed Over | 46c | 962.67$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Over | 43c | 911.27$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 754.73$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.97 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 57c | 743.75$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.42 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 42c | 715$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 42c | 689.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.19 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Over | 44c | 604.89$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 68c | 530.4$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 485.56$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Under | 58c | 476.6$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 43c | 470$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 43c | 462.14$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.42 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 70c | 434.02$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 43c | 367.44$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 56c | 348.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 58c | 341$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.78 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 43c | 332.56$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 70c | 315.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 72c | 290.95$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 42 | 90.5%38 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Over | 42c | 286.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 45c | 260.24$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…ae26backed Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 36c | 246.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 57c | 241.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 42c | 233.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a38…3ddcbacked Over | 43c | 232.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 43c | 230.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 57c | 220.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Under | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 200.01$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 199.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Over | 42c | 190$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 41c | 185.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…745cbacked Over | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 165$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 240 | 49.2%118 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 51c | 140.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 135.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 59c | 135$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 133$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 58c | 129.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 57c | 122.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 54c | 122.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 42c | 118$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…5a5cbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 43c | 114.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 47c | 105.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -20.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 53c | 94.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Under | 55c | 84.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 41c | 83.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…f180backed Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 75c | 77.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…4c5abacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked Over | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…c715backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 275 | 37.1%102 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +7.1wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +68%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…f56bbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 68c | 64.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x760e…db1abacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.