Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a50ceec9f66cdfe200fc3bf91e5f5bb4d8413be9af9fa5e0d351cd3a4069e38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crystal Palace FCof Crystal Palace FC, FK Shakhtar Donetsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 76c | 1,355$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.25 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Crystal Palace FC | 12c | 1,296$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.83 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Crystal Palace FC | 78c | 1,109$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.59 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Crystal Palace FC | 34c | 1,077$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 21c | 951.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Crystal Palace FC | 79c | 903$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…d998backed Crystal Palace FC | 24c | 832.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 69c | 705.87$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 20c | 694.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efb…5312backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 79c | 645.57$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…60f7backed Crystal Palace FC | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…1829backed Crystal Palace FC | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5979…fc4fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Crystal Palace FC | 11c | 432.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.43 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…c47dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 34c | 323.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af2…f92fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 76c | 191.38$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 79c | 155.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 75c | 128$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…1a11backed Crystal Palace FC | 25c | 128$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 79c | 127.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Crystal Palace FC | 27c | 110.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Crystal Palace FC | 21c | 99.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a443backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 77c | 80$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Crystal Palace FC | 21c | 78.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Crystal Palace FC | 33c | 75.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 77c | 75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Crystal Palace FC | 33c | 56.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…5b9cbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 67c | 35.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 78c | 27.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…22f5backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 64c | 21.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 76c | 14.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 75c | 14.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)this page
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.