TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c30,072$17,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,542.243,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c23,845$10,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,150.952,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over22c6,235$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,863.2212832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under66c3,536$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.6576941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over39c2,288$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.21145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Over36c1,809$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.231758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under39c1,684$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8562…ad77backed Over63c1,575$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Under64c1,569$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over22c1,500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1705927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over43c942.78$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.022934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under49c900$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa739…c23dbacked Over23c857.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+176.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Under61c650$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbfc…e387backed Over63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.92875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c619.51$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.341,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under78c552.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.6744156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c29…79b6backed Over22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under72c490.2$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.842254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under78c480.58$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6956849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over23c421.74$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.745221.2%11 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Under77c406.69$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.157829.5%23 W · 55 L-11.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over29c353.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.176033.3%20 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over58c340$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.81315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1534…ae26backed Over63c332.43$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.434100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over49c304.76$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.762250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over49c287.05$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5770239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under66c260.86$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0274155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Under79c207.41$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.851861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over34c204.44$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0217958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Under10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…ebf8backed Over54c199.98$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under78c198.02$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0896947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over65c154.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.771163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under62c138.7$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.467656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5e8…3f48backed Under78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under62c124$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.386956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over23c104.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.356944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over35c94.01$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.733836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over27c92.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.55040%20 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over44c84.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.072040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over37c77.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.132352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e6…f081backed Under39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Under65c76.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under74c75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4216543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f52…eb8bbacked Over22c67.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over38c65.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.784546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under61c65.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401675%12 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+81.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over21c59.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3710941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over28c56.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9217855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under66c54.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.369141.8%38 W · 53 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over58c51.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.91631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Under79c50.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.751338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.512633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.59443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.58733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Over22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dba…cb27backed Over52c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.081957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under77c45.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0311246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under77c45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.74269%29 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over39c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.455745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over39c43.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under73c43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.551,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over57c36.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.848062.5%50 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Over58c31.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under77c30.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.614143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Under64c30.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked Under66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under72c28.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5219546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over53c27.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0524…9dcebacked Over53c27.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under78c27.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.262944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed Under49c26.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under63c26.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.542842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under78c25.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Over48c25.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under78c24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.722864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4152…dbb3backed Over63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under61c22.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Under78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Under51c19.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.093250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked Under76c19.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under78c18.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.737268.1%49 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under77c18.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.893345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff5f…b2e2backed Under79c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Under72c14.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+85.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed Under78c13.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.